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Port Vale vs Forest Green

Vale Park, Stoke16 September 2017 at 15:00
Referee: Martin Coy

Match Events

Port Vale
Forest Green
Kick Off
D. Turner

assist: T. Pope

21′
Half Time
46′
L. JamesToni Gomes
46′
S. MullingsD. Traoré
D. TurnerM. Harness
67′
67′
W. RandallOmar Bugiel
68′
Omar Bugiel

assist: C. Doidge

T. DentonB. Whitfield
81′
90′Christian Doidge
Full Time

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal1
4Shots off Goal1
7Total Shots3
0Blocked Shots1
5Shots insidebox1
2Shots outsidebox2
16Fouls9
2Corner Kicks4
1Offsides2
53%Ball Possession47%
0Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves6
0Total passes0
0Passes accurate0
0Passes %0

Lineups

Defensive Solidity

Port Vale deploy 5 defenders rated — on average, against Forest Green's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Port Vale field 3 midfielders averaging —, versus Forest Green's 3 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Port Vale start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 3 for Forest Green averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Port Vale4-4-24-4-2Forest Green
GKDEFMIDFWD
36Roos2Wilson33Gunning4Anderson24Smith3Denton32Tonge10Worrall28Freitas9Pope19Turner1Collins3Laird21Roberts5Collins2Bennett8Noble19Randall15Cooper33James9Doidge14Mullings

Substitutes

Coach: M. Brown

Substitutes

Coach: M. Cooper

Port ValePosition StrengthForest Green
Port Vale4-4-2
36GoalkeeperK. Roos
2DefenderL. Wilson
33DefenderG. Gunning
4DefenderT. Anderson
24DefenderN. Smith
3DefenderT. Denton
32MidfielderM. Tonge
10MidfielderD. Worrall
28MidfielderA. De Freitas
9ForwardT. Pope
19ForwardD. Turner
Forest Green4-4-2
1GoalkeeperB. Collins
3DefenderS. Laird
21DefenderM. Roberts
5DefenderL. Collins
2DefenderD. Bennett
8MidfielderL. Noble
19MidfielderW. Randall
15MidfielderC. Cooper
33ForwardL. James
9ForwardC. Doidge
14ForwardS. Mullings

Match Summary

Port Vale and Forest Green drew 1:1. The match was played in League Two 2017. Goals were scored by D. Turner 21′, Omar Bugiel 68′. 1 yellow cards were shown. Port Vale had 53% possession while Forest Green held 47%. Port Vale had 7 shots (3 on target) compared to 3 (1 on target) for Forest Green. Port Vale made 2 substitutions, Forest Green made 3.

Rivalry since 2012

Port Vale vs Forest Green Head to Head Results

12 stretnutí
Port Vale
5
wins
Drawn
5
Forest Green
2
wins
Total goals
34 · 2.8/match
Both scored
9/12 · 75%
Over 2.5
5/12 · 42%

Recent Form

Port Vale

LWLLDW

Forest Green

LWLWDW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Port Vale3wins
5draws10 meetings
Forest Green2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

20%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (40%) — the odds may underestimate Forest Green.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 42.7%Draw 29.4%Away 31.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.303.303.10
Max2.423.503.25
Market favourite:Port Vale · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market40.3%28.6%31.1%
Public market42.3%27.8%29.9%
Δ2.0%0.8%1.1%

Port Vale vs Forest Green — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Port Vale (43%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Port ValeHalf-time:10Forest Green
7Shots3
3Shots on target1

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
01/02/22Port Vale1–1Forest Green3.21/3.34/2.27
28/08/21Forest Green0–2Port Vale2.02/3.31/3.85
16/01/21Forest Green1–1Port Vale1.82/3.80/4.10
15/12/20Port Vale1–1Forest Green2.89/3.37/2.45
11/02/20Forest Green2–3Port Vale1.98/3.18/4.32
20/08/19Port Vale2–1Forest Green2.03/3.36/4.03
23/03/19Port Vale0–2Forest Green2.79/3.22/2.66
08/09/18Forest Green1–1Port Vale1.88/3.92/3.94
06/01/18Forest Green1–0Port Vale5.03/3.60/1.79
16/09/17Port Vale1–1Forest Green2.34/3.40/3.16

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Port Vale

W 186D 141L 170
Over 2.546
Goals scored641

Away Record: Forest Green

W 100D 69L 97
Over 2.546
Goals scored343

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026