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Swindon Town vs Stevenage

County Ground, Swindon16 September 2017 at 15:00
Referee: John Brooks

Match Events

Swindon Town
Stevenage
Kick Off
L. Norris

assist: C. Hussey

9′
K. Anderson

assist: L. Norris

13′
D. ConroyC. Robertson
43′
Luke Norris45′
Half Time
51′
D. Newton
Chris Robertson53′
L. Norris

Penalty

62′
63′
B. KennedyC. Whelpdale
James Dunne68′
T. ElšnikA. Linganzi
71′
Chris Hussey75′
76′
T. PettA. Samuel
79′Danny Newton
80′
D. GormanM. McKee
K. GordonK. Woolery
83′
Oliver Lancashire88′
89′
J. Martin
90′Matt Godden
Full Time

Match Statistics

8Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal4
13Total Shots10
1Blocked Shots4
6Shots insidebox6
7Shots outsidebox4
17Fouls14
6Corner Kicks2
0Offsides4
60%Ball Possession40%
5Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
0Goalkeeper Saves5
0Total passes0
0Passes accurate0
0Passes %0

Lineups

Defensive Solidity

Swindon Town deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Stevenage's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Swindon Town field 3 midfielders averaging —, versus Stevenage's 4 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Swindon Town start 3 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Stevenage averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Swindon Town4-2-3-14-4-2Stevenage
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Vigouro.3Hussey2Purkiss6Lancash.25Conroy8Dunne7Mullin9Norris19Elšnik30Anderson20Gordon1Fryer25Henry3Martin5Franks22Toner2Smith17Gorman10Kennedy11Pett24Godden19Newton

Substitutes

Coach: D. Flitcroft

Substitutes

Coach: D. Sarll

Swindon TownPosition StrengthStevenage
Swindon Town4-2-3-1
1GoalkeeperL. Vigouroux
3DefenderC. Hussey
2DefenderB. Purkiss
6DefenderO. Lancashire
25DefenderD. Conroy
8MidfielderJ. Dunne
19MidfielderT. Elšnik
20MidfielderK. Gordon
7ForwardP. Mullin
9ForwardL. Norris
30ForwardK. Anderson
Stevenage4-4-2
1GoalkeeperJ. Fryer
25DefenderR. Henry
3DefenderJ. Martin
5DefenderF. Franks
22DefenderK. Toner
2MidfielderJ. Smith
17MidfielderD. Gorman
10MidfielderB. Kennedy
11MidfielderT. Pett
24ForwardM. Godden
19ForwardD. Newton

Match Summary

Swindon Town defeated Stevenage 3:2. The match was played in League Two 2017. Goals were scored by L. Norris 9′, K. Anderson 13′, D. Newton 51′, L. Norris 62′ (pen.), J. Martin 89′. 7 yellow cards were shown. Swindon Town had 60% possession while Stevenage held 40%. Swindon Town had 13 shots (8 on target) compared to 10 (2 on target) for Stevenage. Swindon Town made 3 substitutions, Stevenage made 3.

Rivalry since 2012

Swindon Town vs Stevenage Head to Head Results

13 stretnutí
Swindon Town
6
wins
Drawn
2
Stevenage
5
wins
Total goals
31 · 2.4/match
Both scored
3/13 · 23%
Over 2.5
4/13 · 31%

Recent Form

Swindon Town

LLDLWD

Stevenage

WDWDLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Swindon Town4wins
2draws9 meetings
Stevenage3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.1

Average goals per game

22%

Games with 3+ goals

33%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (39%) — the odds may underestimate Swindon Town.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 41.2%Draw 28.7%Away 34.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.403.302.90
Max2.493.603.00
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market39.2%27.3%33.5%
Public market40.5%27.0%32.4%
Δ1.4%0.3%1.1%

Swindon Town vs Stevenage — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Swindon Town
Result vs. Market: Swindon Town (41%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Swindon TownHalf-time:20Stevenage
13Shots10
8Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
25/04/23Swindon Town0–1Stevenage3.58/3.27/2.14
08/10/22Stevenage2–0Swindon Town1.83/3.45/4.67
29/12/21Swindon Town0–0Stevenage1.85/3.48/4.28
04/09/21Stevenage1–1Swindon Town2.51/3.02/3.01
22/10/19Swindon Town1–0Stevenage1.71/3.69/5.33
12/03/19Stevenage2–0Swindon Town3.07/3.26/2.45
27/11/18Swindon Town3–2Stevenage2.23/3.36/3.42
30/01/18Stevenage0–1Swindon Town2.94/3.31/2.53
16/09/17Swindon Town3–2Stevenage2.43/3.49/2.94

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Swindon Town

W 200D 108L 142
Over 2.555
Goals scored677

Away Record: Stevenage

W 155D 130L 165
Over 2.544
Goals scored533

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026