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Crewe vs Carlisle

Alexandra Stadium, Crewe23 September 2017 at 15:00
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Crewe

05
Referee: Ross Joyce

Match Events

Crewe
Carlisle
Kick Off
13′
D. Grainger

assist: M. Jones

Half Time
B. WalkerH. Pickering
46′
Michael Raynes48′
48′
D. Grainger

Penalty

C. GrantO. Dale
58′
R. WintleS. Stubbs
59′
68′
K. EtuhuJ. Devitt
72′
M. Raynes

Own Goal

75′
R. Lambe

assist: J. Devitt

77′
S. MillerH. Hope
78′
J. BrownT. Miller
90+4′
H. Hope
Full Time

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal6
2Shots off Goal5
4Total Shots12
0Blocked Shots1
0Shots insidebox8
4Shots outsidebox5
8Fouls9
2Corner Kicks5
0Offsides3
48%Ball Possession52%
1Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves2
0Total passes0
0Passes accurate0
0Passes %0

Lineups

Defensive Solidity

Crewe deploy 3 defenders rated — on average, against Carlisle's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Crewe field 5 midfielders averaging —, versus Carlisle's 4 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Crewe start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Carlisle averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Crewe4-3-34-2-3-1Carlisle
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Garratt12Nolan6Raynes4Walker28Grant11Cooper15Wintle14Ainley16Lowery7Porter9Dagnall23George3Grainger29Hill6Parkes17Brown21Etuhu8Jones4Joyce10Adams19Lambe20Miller

Substitutes

Coach: D. Artell

Substitutes

Coach: K. Curle

CrewePosition StrengthCarlisle
Crewe4-3-3
1GoalkeeperB. Garratt
12DefenderE. Nolan
6DefenderM. Raynes
4DefenderB. Walker
28MidfielderC. Grant
11MidfielderG. Cooper
15MidfielderR. Wintle
14MidfielderC. Ainley
16MidfielderT. Lowery
7ForwardC. Porter
9ForwardC. Dagnall
Carlisle4-2-3-1
23GoalkeeperS. George
3DefenderD. Grainger
29DefenderC. Hill
6DefenderT. Parkes
17DefenderJ. Brown
8MidfielderM. Jones
4MidfielderL. Joyce
10MidfielderN. Adams
19MidfielderR. Lambe
21ForwardK. Etuhu
20ForwardS. Miller

Match Summary

Carlisle defeated Crewe 5:0. The match was played in League Two 2017. Goals were scored by D. Grainger 13′, D. Grainger 48′ (pen.), M. Raynes 72′ (o.g.), R. Lambe 75′, H. Hope 90′. 1 yellow cards were shown. Crewe had 48% possession while Carlisle held 52%. Crewe had 4 shots (2 on target) compared to 12 (6 on target) for Carlisle. Crewe made 3 substitutions, Carlisle made 3.

Rivalry since 2012

Crewe vs Carlisle Head to Head Results

16 stretnutí
Crewe
7
wins
Drawn
4
Carlisle
5
wins
Total goals
38 · 2.4/match
Both scored
8/16 · 50%
Over 2.5
7/16 · 44%

Recent Form

Crewe

DLLLWL

Carlisle

LWWWDD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Crewe4wins
2draws10 meetings
Carlisle4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.1

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (34%) — the odds may underestimate Crewe.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 35.7%Draw 28.6%Away 39.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.703.302.49
Max2.903.602.63
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market33.7%27.1%39.2%
Public market36.0%27.0%37.0%
Δ2.3%0.1%2.2%

Crewe vs Carlisle — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Carlisle
Result vs. Market: Carlisle (39%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CreweHalf-time:01Carlisle
4Shots12
2Shots on target6

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
01/01/25Crewe3–2Carlisle1.92/3.46/3.91
30/11/24Carlisle1–1Crewe2.78/3.23/2.56
29/12/22Crewe0–3Carlisle3.48/3.24/2.20
01/10/22Carlisle0–0Crewe1.98/3.41/3.99
01/01/20Crewe4–1Carlisle1.64/3.87/5.30
12/10/19Carlisle2–4Crewe3.41/3.70/2.10
12/02/19Crewe2–1Carlisle2.27/3.34/3.33
25/08/18Carlisle1–0Crewe1.95/3.70/3.85
13/01/18Carlisle1–0Crewe1.88/3.63/4.33
23/09/17Crewe0–5Carlisle2.80/3.50/2.54

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Crewe

W 190D 125L 182
Over 2.551
Goals scored699

Away Record: Carlisle

W 183D 139L 175
Over 2.549
Goals scored653

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026