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Luton vs Carlisle

Kenilworth Road, Luton21 November 2017 at 19:45
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Luton

30

Match Events

Luton
Carlisle
Kick Off
A. Shinnie

assist: E. Lee

19′
D. Potts

assist: A. Sheehan

30′
Alan Sheehan45′
45′Hallam Hope
Half Time
46′
T. ParkesK. Etuhu
51′Luke Joyce
E. LeeH. Cornick
72′
74′
M. JonesR. Bennett
H. Cornick

assist: J. Stacey

76′
J. MullinsL. D'Ath
82′
84′
L. JoyceS. Cosgrove
A. ShinnieA. Famewo
88′
Full Time

Lineups

Defensive Solidity

Luton deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Carlisle's 3-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Luton field 4 midfielders averaging —, versus Carlisle's 5 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Luton start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Carlisle averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

LutonPosition StrengthCarlisle
Luton
1GoalkeeperM. Štěch
44DefenderA. Sheehan
5DefenderJ. Mullins
3DefenderD. Potts
16DefenderG. Rea
11MidfielderA. Shinnie
18MidfielderL. Berry
17MidfielderP. Ruddock
7MidfielderJ. Stacey
9ForwardD. Hylton
38ForwardE. Lee
Carlisle
1GoalkeeperJ. Bonham
3DefenderD. Grainger
29DefenderC. Hill
6DefenderT. Parkes
2MidfielderT. Miller
8MidfielderM. Jones
4MidfielderL. Joyce
5MidfielderG. Liddle
19MidfielderR. Lambe
20ForwardS. Miller
9ForwardH. Hope

Match Summary

Luton defeated Carlisle 3:0. The match was played in League Two 2017. Goals were scored by A. Shinnie 19′, D. Potts 30′, H. Cornick 76′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Luton made 3 substitutions, Carlisle made 3.

Rivalry since 2014

Luton vs Carlisle Head to Head Results

7 stretnutí
Luton
3
wins
Drawn
3
Carlisle
1
wins
Total goals
16 · 2.3/match
Both scored
4/7 · 57%
Over 2.5
2/7 · 29%

Recent Form

Luton

WWWDWW

Carlisle

LWWWDD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Luton4wins
3draws8 meetings
Carlisle1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.4

Average goals per game

38%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Market Summary

Margin: 3.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 60.0%Draw 23.6%Away 20.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.624.205.00
Max1.704.335.01
Market favourite:Luton · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market58.0%22.5%19.5%
Public market57.3%23.2%19.5%

Luton vs Carlisle — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Luton
Result vs. Market: Luton (60%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

LutonHalf-time:20Carlisle
9Shots13
4Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
21/04/18Carlisle1–1Luton4.36/3.61/1.88
21/11/17Luton3–0Carlisle1.67/4.24/5.00
10/12/16Luton1–1Carlisle2.44/3.44/3.00
14/03/17Carlisle0–0Luton3.41/3.54/2.17
24/11/15Luton3–4Carlisle1.97/3.67/3.92
19/04/16Carlisle1–2Luton2.42/3.39/3.04
09/08/14Carlisle0–1Luton2.81/3.30/2.64
14/02/15Luton1–0Carlisle1.92/3.44/4.47

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Luton

W 96D 67L 67
Over 2.546
Goals scored339

Away Record: Carlisle

W 183D 139L 175
Over 2.549
Goals scored653

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026