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Grimsby vs Luton

Blundell Park, Grimsby27 January 2018 at 15:00
01
Away

Luton

Match Events

Grimsby
Luton
Kick Off
21′Jordan Cook
33′Jordan Cook
33′Jordan Cook
Ben Davies41′
Half Time
B. DaviesZ. Mills
46′
49′
J. Collins
M. RoseS. Dembele
61′
75′
A. ShinnieL. D'Ath
P. DixonM. Wilks
77′
Siriki Dembele80′
82′
J. CollinsJ. Justin
90′
H. CornickE. Lee
Full Time

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Grimsby is 7.05, compared to — for Luton. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Grimsby's highest-rated starter is C. Vernam (7.05), while Luton's best-rated player is —.

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Grimsby have contributed 10 goals and 10 assists this season, led by C. Vernam (10G). Luton's starters account for 0 goals and 0 assists, spearheaded by —. Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Grimsby deploy 5 defenders rated — on average, against Luton's 5-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Grimsby field 4 midfielders averaging 7.05, versus Luton's 4 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Grimsby start 1 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 1 for Luton averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 75% for Grimsby and —% for Luton. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Grimsby's starters have collected 1 yellow cards this season, compared to 0 for Luton. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Grimsby's starting XI is 29.0 (youngest: C. Vernam (29), oldest: C. Vernam (29)), while Luton average — (youngest: —, oldest: —). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Grimsby's starters average 40 league appearances each, versus 0 for Luton. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

GrimsbyPosition StrengthLuton
7.05
Avg Rating
7.05Midfielder (4 v 4)
10G 10A0G 0A
Grimsby
30GoalkeeperB. Killip
6DefenderD. Collins
3DefenderP. Dixon
14DefenderK. Osborne
5DefenderN. Clarke
2DefenderB. Davies
19MidfielderL. Summerfield
7MidfielderJ. Berrett
8MidfielderM. Rose
34MidfielderC. Vernam7.010G10A
29ForwardJ. Matt
Luton
1GoalkeeperM. Štěch
44DefenderA. Sheehan
5DefenderJ. Mullins
3DefenderD. Potts
16DefenderG. Rea
7DefenderJ. Stacey
11MidfielderA. Shinnie
18MidfielderL. Berry
10MidfielderJ. Cook
14MidfielderH. Cornick
19ForwardJ. Collins

Match Summary

Luton defeated Grimsby 1:0. The match was played in League Two 2017. Goals were scored by J. Collins 49′. 4 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. Grimsby made 3 substitutions, Luton made 3.

Rivalry since 2011

Grimsby vs Luton Head to Head Results

12 stretnutí
Grimsby
4
wins
Drawn
5
Luton
3
wins
Total goals
30 · 2.5/match
Both scored
7/12 · 58%
Over 2.5
6/12 · 50%

Recent Form

Grimsby

DWWWLW

Luton

WWWDWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Grimsby1wins
2draws6 meetings
Luton3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

67%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (23%) — the odds may underestimate Luton.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 23.7%Draw 27.4%Away 52.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min4.003.501.88
Max4.333.761.91
Market favourite:Luton · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market22.5%25.8%51.6%
Public market22.5%26.3%51.2%

Grimsby vs Luton — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Luton
Result vs. Market: Luton (53%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

GrimsbyHalf-time:00Luton
13Shots6
5Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
27/01/18Grimsby0–1Luton4.21/3.65/1.90
23/12/17Luton2–0Grimsby1.61/4.39/5.34
10/09/16Luton1–2Grimsby2.01/3.55/3.85
04/02/17Grimsby1–1Luton3.19/3.30/2.38
21/10/08Grimsby2–2Luton2.49/3.27/2.62
17/03/09Luton2–1Grimsby1.92/3.38/3.92

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Grimsby

W 223D 181L 277
Over 2.548
Goals scored792

Away Record: Luton

W 96D 67L 67
Over 2.546
Goals scored339

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026