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Exeter City vs Forest Green

St James Park, Exeter31 January 2018 at 19:45

Match Events

Exeter City
Forest Green
Kick Off
Half Time
R. HarleyK. Edwards
46′
J. Stockley

assist: K. Edwards

51′
P. Sweeney

Penalty

57′
59′
H. HollisS. Laird
67′Gavin Gunning
68′Lee Collins
71′
C. DoidgeT. Campbell
Lee Holmes82′
L. HolmesK. Wilson
83′
86′
I. OsbourneR. Brown
Full Time

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Exeter City is 6.93, compared to — for Forest Green. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Exeter City's highest-rated starter is P. Sweeney (6.93), while Forest Green's best-rated player is —.

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Exeter City have contributed 2 goals and 0 assists this season, led by P. Sweeney (2G). Forest Green's starters account for 0 goals and 0 assists, spearheaded by —. Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Exeter City deploy 4 defenders rated 6.93 on average, against Forest Green's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Exeter City field 5 midfielders averaging —, versus Forest Green's 3 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Exeter City start 1 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 3 for Forest Green averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 77% for Exeter City and —% for Forest Green. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Exeter City's starters have collected 7 yellow cards this season, compared to 0 for Forest Green. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Exeter City's starting XI is 31.0 (youngest: P. Sweeney (31), oldest: P. Sweeney (31)), while Forest Green average — (youngest: —, oldest: —). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Exeter City's starters average 40 league appearances each, versus 0 for Forest Green. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Exeter CityPosition StrengthForest Green
6.93
Avg Rating
6.93Defender (4 v 4)
2G 0A0G 0A
Exeter City
1GoalkeeperC. Pym
3DefenderC. Woodman
21DefenderD. Moxey
5DefenderT. Archibald-Henville
2DefenderP. Sweeney6.92G
10MidfielderL. Holmes
4MidfielderL. James
7MidfielderR. Harley
25MidfielderJ. Taylor
6MidfielderJ. Tillson
11ForwardJ. Stockley
Forest Green
1GoalkeeperB. Collins
5DefenderL. Collins
2DefenderD. Bennett
16DefenderG. Gunning
20DefenderF. Rawson
32MidfielderH. Hollis
34MidfielderI. Osbourne
8MidfielderD. Grubb
26ForwardR. Reid
17ForwardD. Wishart
9ForwardC. Doidge

Match Summary

Exeter City defeated Forest Green 2:0. The match was played in League Two 2017. Goals were scored by J. Stockley 51′, P. Sweeney 57′ (pen.). 3 yellow cards were shown. Exeter City made 2 substitutions, Forest Green made 3.

Rivalry since 2017

Exeter City vs Forest Green Head to Head Results

14 stretnutí
Exeter City
5
wins
Drawn
7
Forest Green
2
wins
Total goals
33 · 2.4/match
Both scored
7/14 · 50%
Over 2.5
6/14 · 43%

Recent Form

Exeter City

LDDDWL

Forest Green

LWLWDW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Exeter City4wins
5draws10 meetings
Forest Green1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.3

Average goals per game

20%

Games with 3+ goals

30%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (54%) — the odds may underestimate Forest Green.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 55.4%Draw 26.5%Away 22.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.793.504.50
Max1.834.014.59
Market favourite:Exeter City · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market54.3%24.2%21.5%
Public market53.1%25.7%21.2%
Δ1.1%1.4%0.3%

Exeter City vs Forest Green — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Exeter City
Result vs. Market: Exeter City (55%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Exeter CityHalf-time:00Forest Green
10Shots16
2Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
04/01/22Forest Green0–0Exeter City1.59/3.99/5.69
04/09/21Exeter City0–0Forest Green2.98/3.24/2.42
20/04/21Forest Green0–0Exeter City2.61/3.28/2.73
26/12/20Exeter City1–1Forest Green2.37/3.29/2.98
01/01/20Forest Green0–1Exeter City2.63/3.28/2.71
12/10/19Exeter City1–0Forest Green1.80/3.65/4.82
04/05/19Forest Green0–0Exeter City2.47/3.28/2.99
27/10/18Exeter City1–2Forest Green2.26/3.69/3.08
31/01/18Exeter City2–0Forest Green1.81/3.77/4.54
09/09/17Forest Green1–3Exeter City2.99/3.51/2.40

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Exeter City

W 211D 133L 153
Over 2.549
Goals scored694

Away Record: Forest Green

W 100D 69L 97
Over 2.546
Goals scored343

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026