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Cheltenham vs Carlisle

Whaddon Road, Cheltenham30 March 2018 at 15:00
01
Referee: Nick Kinseley

Match Events

Cheltenham
Carlisle
Kick Off
Jerell Sellars24′
29′Jamie Devitt
33′Mark Ellis
45′Richard Bennett
Half Time
60′Luke Joyce
64′
L. JoyceH. Hope
64′
C. StocktonA. Nadesan
J. SellarsB. Graham
65′
Taylor Moore73′
74′
J. Devitt

Penalty

T. MooreH. Pell
75′
90′
J. DevittR. Lambe
Full Time

Lineups

Defensive Solidity

Cheltenham deploy 5 defenders rated — on average, against Carlisle's 5-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Cheltenham field 3 midfielders averaging —, versus Carlisle's 3 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Cheltenham start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Carlisle averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

CheltenhamPosition StrengthCarlisle
Cheltenham
24GoalkeeperS. Flinders
2DefenderJ. Grimes
28DefenderT. Moore
33DefenderI. Chatzitheodoridis
15DefenderW. Boyle
11DefenderC. Winchester
8MidfielderK. Dawson
6MidfielderN. Atangana
25MidfielderJ. Morrell
17ForwardJ. Sellars
20ForwardM. Eisa
Carlisle
1GoalkeeperJ. Bonham
29DefenderC. Hill
16DefenderM. Ellis
6DefenderT. Parkes
17DefenderJ. Brown
5DefenderG. Liddle
8MidfielderM. Jones
4MidfielderL. Joyce
11MidfielderJ. Devitt
23ForwardC. Stockton
14ForwardR. Bennett

Match Summary

Carlisle defeated Cheltenham 1:0. The match was played in League Two 2017. Goals were scored by J. Devitt 74′ (pen.). 6 yellow cards were shown. Cheltenham made 2 substitutions, Carlisle made 3.

Rivalry since 2014

Cheltenham vs Carlisle Head to Head Results

15 stretnutí
Cheltenham
7
wins
Drawn
3
Carlisle
5
wins
Total goals
26 · 1.7/match
Both scored
4/15 · 27%
Over 2.5
3/15 · 20%

Recent Form

Cheltenham

LLLWWW

Carlisle

LWWWDD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Cheltenham5wins
1draws10 meetings
Carlisle4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.1

Average goals per game

30%

Games with 3+ goals

30%

Both teams scored

Market Summary

Margin: 4.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 44.6%Draw 29.4%Away 30.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.233.203.00
Max2.253.523.39
Market favourite:Cheltenham · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market43.5%27.6%28.9%
Public market43.4%27.9%28.8%

Cheltenham vs Carlisle — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Carlisle
Result vs. Market: Cheltenham (45%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CheltenhamHalf-time:00Carlisle
21Shots12
5Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
26/04/25Cheltenham3–2Carlisle2.76/3.65/2.33
26/10/24Carlisle0–1Cheltenham1.99/3.43/3.70
27/04/21Cheltenham1–1Carlisle1.99/3.35/3.91
14/11/20Carlisle1–2Cheltenham2.40/3.22/3.07
11/02/20Carlisle0–1Cheltenham2.86/3.33/2.50
20/08/19Cheltenham2–0Carlisle2.30/3.50/3.12
19/01/19Carlisle2–0Cheltenham1.77/3.68/4.73
18/08/18Cheltenham0–1Carlisle2.65/3.38/2.70
30/03/18Cheltenham0–1Carlisle2.24/3.41/3.25
19/08/17Carlisle3–0Cheltenham2.02/3.54/3.86

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Cheltenham

W 234D 194L 252
Over 2.545
Goals scored842

Away Record: Carlisle

W 183D 139L 175
Over 2.549
Goals scored653

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026