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Colchester vs Luton

Colchester Community Stadium, Colchester30 March 2018 at 15:00
21
Away

Luton

Referee: Trevor Kettle

Match Events

Colchester
Luton
Kick Off
T. LapslieB. Comley
14′
14′
L. BerryL. Gambin
T. Eastman

assist: B. Dickenson

15′
L. Prosser

assist: B. Stevenson

27′
40′Daniel Potts
Half Time
B. DickensonC. Senior
46′
Ryan Jackson53′
53′Alan Sheehan
Sam Walker60′
Mikael Mandron60′
66′
A. ShinnieE. Lee
71′
G. ReaH. Cornick
B. StevensonS. Murray
82′
88′
D. Hylton

Penalty

Drey Wright90′
90′Scott Cuthbert
Full Time

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Colchester is 6.70, compared to 7.20 for Luton. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Colchester's highest-rated starter is K. Vincent-Young (6.70), while Luton's best-rated player is J. Shea (7.20).

Defensive Solidity

Colchester deploy 3 defenders rated 6.70 on average, against Luton's 5-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Colchester field 3 midfielders averaging —, versus Luton's 3 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Colchester start 4 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Luton averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 80% for Colchester and —% for Luton. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Colchester's starters have collected 5 yellow cards this season, compared to 0 for Luton. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Colchester's starting XI is 29.0 (youngest: K. Vincent-Young (29), oldest: K. Vincent-Young (29)), while Luton average 34.0 (youngest: J. Shea (34), oldest: J. Shea (34)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Colchester's starters average 38 league appearances each, versus 20 for Luton. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

ColchesterPosition StrengthLuton
6.70
Avg Rating
7.20
Goalkeeper (1 v 1)7.20
0G 0A0G 0A
6.70Defender (3 v 5)
0G 0A0G 0A
Colchester
1GoalkeeperS. Walker
5DefenderL. Prosser
18DefenderT. Eastman
22DefenderK. Vincent-Young6.7
2MidfielderR. Jackson
4MidfielderT. Lapslie
17MidfielderB. Stevenson
7ForwardDrey Wright
10ForwardS. Szmodics
11ForwardB. Dickenson
19ForwardM. Mandron
Luton
36GoalkeeperJ. Shea7.2
6DefenderS. Cuthbert
44DefenderA. Sheehan
3DefenderD. Potts
16DefenderG. Rea
2DefenderJ. Justin
11MidfielderA. Shinnie
18MidfielderL. Berry
8MidfielderO. Lee
9ForwardD. Hylton
19ForwardJ. Collins

Match Summary

Colchester defeated Luton 2:1. The match was played in League Two 2017. Goals were scored by T. Eastman 15′, L. Prosser 27′, D. Hylton 88′ (pen.). 7 yellow cards were shown. Colchester made 3 substitutions, Luton made 3.

Rivalry since 2016

Colchester vs Luton Head to Head Results

3 stretnutí
Colchester
2
wins
Drawn
0
Luton
1
wins
Total goals
7 · 2.3/match
Both scored
1/3 · 33%
Over 2.5
2/3 · 67%

Recent Form

Colchester

WLLWWW

Luton

WWWDWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Colchester dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Colchester3wins
0draws4 meetings
Luton1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

75%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (25%) — the odds may underestimate Colchester.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 26.4%Draw 29.1%Away 49.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.753.251.95
Max3.863.562.10
Market favourite:Luton · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market25.1%27.3%47.6%
Public market25.9%27.8%46.3%
Δ0.8%0.5%1.3%

Colchester vs Luton — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Colchester
Result vs. Market: Luton (49%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

ColchesterHalf-time:20Luton
9Shots14
2Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
30/03/18Colchester2–1Luton3.79/3.44/2.03
19/08/17Luton3–0Colchester1.68/3.95/5.29
26/12/16Luton0–1Colchester1.91/3.62/3.98
25/03/17Colchester2–1Luton3.59/3.49/2.11

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Colchester

W 152D 136L 163
Over 2.544
Goals scored546

Away Record: Luton

W 96D 67L 67
Over 2.546
Goals scored339

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026