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Cheltenham vs Morecambe

Whaddon Road, Cheltenham2 October 2018 at 19:45
22
Referee: Neil Hair

Match Events

Cheltenham
Morecambe
Kick Off
32′
J. Cranston
34′
S. OldR. Oates
L. Varney

assist: T. Barnett

44′
Half Time
54′
R. Oates

assist: L. Jagne

59′
L. JagneA. Tutte
K. DawsonC. Hussey
68′
T. BarnettG. Lloyd
69′
78′
A. Leitch-SmithK. Ellison
T. FieldK. Mooney
83′
L. Varney

assist: K. Mooney

90+4′
Full Time

Lineups

Defensive Solidity

Cheltenham deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Morecambe's 6-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Cheltenham field 4 midfielders averaging —, versus Morecambe's 1 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Cheltenham start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 3 for Morecambe averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

CheltenhamPosition StrengthMorecambe
Cheltenham
1GoalkeeperS. Flinders
5DefenderJ. Mullins
23DefenderJ. Forster
15DefenderW. Boyle
27DefenderT. Field
26MidfielderC. Clements
8MidfielderK. Dawson
6MidfielderN. Atangana
20MidfielderJ. Maddox
32ForwardL. Varney
29ForwardT. Barnett
Morecambe
1GoalkeeperB. Roche
5DefenderS. Old
2DefenderZ. Mills
3DefenderL. Conlan
27DefenderJ. Cranston
16DefenderS. Lavelle
14DefenderJ. Yarney
20MidfielderL. Jagne
28ForwardA. Leitch-Smith
9ForwardV. Oliver
17ForwardL. Mandeville

Match Summary

Cheltenham and Morecambe drew 2:2. The match was played in League Two 2018. Goals were scored by J. Cranston 32′, L. Varney 44′, R. Oates 54′, L. Varney 90′. Cheltenham made 3 substitutions, Morecambe made 3.

Rivalry since 2011

Cheltenham vs Morecambe Head to Head Results

23 stretnutí
Cheltenham
11
wins
Drawn
4
Morecambe
8
wins
Total goals
55 · 2.4/match
Both scored
11/23 · 48%
Over 2.5
13/23 · 57%

Recent Form

Cheltenham

LLLWWW

Morecambe

LLLDWL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Cheltenham3wins
2draws10 meetings
Morecambe5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (42%) — the odds may underestimate Cheltenham.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 44.5%Draw 30.4%Away 29.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.203.253.30
Max2.293.333.60
Market favourite:Cheltenham · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market42.4%29.1%28.5%
Public market43.2%29.9%27.0%
Δ0.8%0.8%1.6%

Cheltenham vs Morecambe — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Cheltenham (45%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CheltenhamHalf-time:11Morecambe
15Shots6
8Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
01/04/25Morecambe2–0Cheltenham2.33/3.31/3.01
14/12/24Cheltenham2–0Morecambe1.82/3.58/4.09
27/03/21Morecambe1–0Cheltenham3.14/3.23/2.35
12/09/20Cheltenham1–2Morecambe1.86/3.60/4.16
01/02/20Cheltenham2–1Morecambe1.70/3.76/5.38
17/08/19Morecambe0–0Cheltenham2.65/3.33/2.77
22/04/19Morecambe4–0Cheltenham2.45/3.34/2.95
02/10/18Cheltenham2–2Morecambe2.25/3.29/3.43
07/04/18Cheltenham3–0Morecambe1.80/3.71/4.67
05/08/17Morecambe2–1Cheltenham2.95/3.35/2.51

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Cheltenham

W 234D 194L 252
Over 2.545
Goals scored842

Away Record: Morecambe

W 229D 196L 302
Over 2.550
Goals scored890

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026