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Notts County vs Crawley Town

Meadow Lane, Nottingham2 October 2018 at 19:45
Referee: David Webb

Match Events

Notts County
Crawley Town
Kick Off
K. Hemmings

assist: L. Alessandra

9′
J. Stead

assist: E. Hewitt

33′
Half Time
54′
Panutche CamaráJ. Maguire
61′Josh Payne
Robert Milsom66′
75′
J. DohertyT. Allarakhia
K. HemmingsN. Thomas
83′
83′
J. PayneM. Randall
85′Romain Vincelot
N. Thomas
87′
L. AlessandraNoor Husin
88′
Elliott Ward89′
90′Ollie Palmer
E. BoldewijnS. Osborne
90+1′
90+3′
D. Poleon

assist: L. Gambin

Full Time

Lineups

Defensive Solidity

Notts County deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Crawley Town's 3-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Notts County field 4 midfielders averaging —, versus Crawley Town's 5 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Notts County start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Crawley Town averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Notts CountyPosition StrengthCrawley Town
Notts County
1GoalkeeperR. Fitzsimons
19DefenderE. Ward
26DefenderJ. Turley
2DefenderM. Tootle
25DefenderC. Evina
4MidfielderE. Hewitt
24MidfielderR. Milsom
7MidfielderL. Alessandra
11MidfielderE. Boldewijn
30ForwardJ. Stead
15ForwardK. Hemmings
Crawley Town
1GoalkeeperG. Morris
5DefenderJ. McNerney
3DefenderJ. Doherty
2DefenderL. Young
22MidfielderFilipe Morais
20MidfielderR. Vincelot
4MidfielderJ. Payne
11MidfielderL. Gambin
28MidfielderPanutche Camará
9ForwardO. Palmer
10ForwardD. Poleon

Match Summary

Notts County defeated Crawley Town 3:1. The match was played in League Two 2018. Goals were scored by K. Hemmings 9′, J. Stead 33′, N. Thomas 87′, D. Poleon 90′. 4 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. Notts County made 3 substitutions, Crawley Town made 3.

Rivalry since 2012

Notts County vs Crawley Town Head to Head Results

18 stretnutí
Notts County
11
wins
Drawn
3
Crawley Town
4
wins
Total goals
52 · 2.9/match
Both scored
11/18 · 61%
Over 2.5
10/18 · 56%

Recent Form

Notts County

DWLLWL

Crawley Town

DDDLLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Notts County dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Notts County7wins
1draws10 meetings
Crawley Town2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.1

Average goals per game

80%

Games with 3+ goals

80%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (46%) — the odds may underestimate Notts County.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 47.2%Draw 27.1%Away 29.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.103.603.25
Max2.143.753.47
Market favourite:Notts County · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market45.9%26.1%27.9%
Public market45.5%25.9%28.6%

Notts County vs Crawley Town — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Notts County
Result vs. Market: Notts County (47%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Notts CountyHalf-time:20Crawley Town
12Shots22
6Shots on target7

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
17/01/26Crawley Town1–2Notts County3.00/3.40/2.20
20/09/25Notts County4–0Crawley Town1.91/3.80/3.48
12/03/24Crawley Town2–1Notts County2.66/3.86/2.39
28/11/23Notts County3–1Crawley Town1.60/4.38/4.97
22/04/19Crawley Town1–1Notts County2.67/3.43/2.64
02/10/18Notts County3–1Crawley Town2.12/3.69/3.37
23/01/18Notts County1–2Crawley Town1.73/3.65/5.28
16/09/17Crawley Town0–1Notts County3.19/3.50/2.29
27/08/16Crawley Town1–3Notts County2.85/3.30/2.52
28/01/17Notts County2–1Crawley Town2.40/3.42/3.05

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Notts County

W 211D 159L 228
Over 2.552
Goals scored789

Away Record: Crawley Town

W 164D 128L 205
Over 2.553
Goals scored611

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026