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Milton Keynes Dons vs Northampton

Stadium MK, Milton Keynes20 October 2018 at 15:00
Referee: Brett Huxtable

Match Events

Milton Keynes Dons
Northampton
Kick Off
K. Agard
44′
Half Time
58′
A. WilliamsJ. Bridge
59′
D. BuchananS. McWilliams
63′Shaun McWilliams
70′Jordan Turnbull
Kieran Agard71′
74′Sam Hoskins
75′
B. WatersD. Powell
79′Hakeem Odofin
Baily Cargill84′
89′Sam Foley
R. HealeyR. Watson
90′
Full Time

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Milton Keynes Dons is 7.09, compared to 6.61 for Northampton. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Milton Keynes Dons's highest-rated starter is A. Gilbey (7.09), while Northampton's best-rated player is S. Hoskins (6.61).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Milton Keynes Dons have contributed 12 goals and 4 assists this season, led by A. Gilbey (12G). Northampton's starters account for 6 goals and 0 assists, spearheaded by S. Hoskins (6G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Milton Keynes Dons deploy 5 defenders rated — on average, against Northampton's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Milton Keynes Dons field 3 midfielders averaging 7.09, versus Northampton's 2 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Milton Keynes Dons start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 4 for Northampton averaging 6.61. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 66% for Milton Keynes Dons and 62% for Northampton. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Milton Keynes Dons's starters have collected 9 yellow cards this season, compared to 6 for Northampton. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Milton Keynes Dons's starting XI is 31.0 (youngest: A. Gilbey (31), oldest: A. Gilbey (31)), while Northampton average 32.0 (youngest: S. Hoskins (32), oldest: S. Hoskins (32)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Milton Keynes Dons's starters average 44 league appearances each, versus 42 for Northampton. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Milton Keynes DonsPosition StrengthNorthampton
7.09
Avg Rating
6.61
7.09Midfielder (3 v 2)
12G 4A0G 0A
Forward (2 v 4)6.61
0G 0A6G 0A
Milton Keynes Dons
1GoalkeeperL. Nicholls
3DefenderD. Lewington
4DefenderJ. Walsh
15DefenderJ. Moore-Taylor
26DefenderB. Cargill
2DefenderG. Williams
24MidfielderJ. Houghton
10MidfielderC. Aneke
8MidfielderA. Gilbey7.112G4A
14ForwardK. Agard
32ForwardR. Healey
Northampton
1GoalkeeperD. Cornell
3DefenderD. Buchanan
16DefenderA. Pierre
18DefenderJ. Turnbull
4DefenderH. Odofin
21MidfielderJ. O'Toole
8MidfielderS. Foley
20ForwardB. Waters
9ForwardA. Williams
10ForwardK. van Veen
7ForwardS. Hoskins6.66G

Match Summary

Milton Keynes Dons defeated Northampton 1:0. The match was played in League Two 2018. Goals were scored by K. Agard 44′. 7 yellow cards were shown. Milton Keynes Dons made 1 substitutions, Northampton made 3.

Rivalry since 2012

Milton Keynes Dons vs Northampton Head to Head Results

16 stretnutí
Milton Keynes Dons
8
wins
Drawn
4
Northampton
4
wins
Total goals
55 · 3.4/match
Both scored
10/16 · 63%
Over 2.5
11/16 · 69%

Recent Form

Milton Keynes Dons

DWWWDD

Northampton

LLLLLL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Milton Keynes Dons1wins
1draws2 meetings
Northampton0wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (55%) — the odds may underestimate Milton Keynes Dons.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 56.6%Draw 26.3%Away 21.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.753.754.40
Max1.803.875.00
Market favourite:Milton Keynes Dons · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market54.7%24.8%20.5%
Public market54.3%26.1%19.6%
Δ0.4%1.3%0.9%

Milton Keynes Dons vs Northampton — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Milton Keynes Dons
Result vs. Market: Milton Keynes Dons (57%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Milton Keynes DonsHalf-time:10Northampton
17Shots12
5Shots on target6

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
29/12/18Northampton2–2Milton Keynes Dons3.16/3.29/2.33
20/10/18Milton Keynes Dons1–0Northampton1.77/3.81/4.69

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Milton Keynes Dons

W 138D 62L 76
Over 2.553
Goals scored450

Away Record: Northampton

W 241D 167L 181
Over 2.546
Goals scored801

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026