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Northampton vs Grimsby

Sixfields Stadium, Northampton24 November 2018 at 15:00
22
Referee: Trevor Kettle

Match Events

Northampton
Grimsby
Kick Off
A. Williams

assist: S. Foley

4′
36′
C. Vernam

assist: B. Pringle

Half Time
J. TurnbullS. Facey
57′
A. WilliamsD. Powell
69′
73′
W. ThomasH. Cardwell
K. van Veen
74′
77′
C. VernamA. Rose
80′
H. Cardwell

assist: D. Collins

S. McWilliamsJ. Williams
85′
86′Danny Collins
88′
B. PringleA. Whitmore
90′Luke Hendrie
Full Time

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Northampton is 6.61, compared to 7.05 for Grimsby. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Northampton's highest-rated starter is S. Hoskins (6.61), while Grimsby's best-rated player is C. Vernam (7.05).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Northampton have contributed 6 goals and 0 assists this season, led by S. Hoskins (6G). Grimsby's starters account for 10 goals and 10 assists, spearheaded by C. Vernam (10G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Northampton deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Grimsby's 3-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Northampton field 3 midfielders averaging —, versus Grimsby's 6 rated 7.05. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Northampton start 3 forward(s) averaging 6.61, compared to 1 for Grimsby averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 62% for Northampton and 75% for Grimsby. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Northampton's starters have collected 6 yellow cards this season, compared to 1 for Grimsby. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Northampton's starting XI is 32.0 (youngest: S. Hoskins (32), oldest: S. Hoskins (32)), while Grimsby average 29.0 (youngest: C. Vernam (29), oldest: C. Vernam (29)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Northampton's starters average 42 league appearances each, versus 40 for Grimsby. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

NorthamptonPosition StrengthGrimsby
6.61
Avg Rating
7.05
Midfielder (3 v 6)7.05
0G 0A10G 10A
6.61Forward (3 v 1)
6G 0A0G 0A
Northampton
1GoalkeeperD. Cornell
3DefenderD. Buchanan
6DefenderA. Taylor
16DefenderA. Pierre
18DefenderJ. Turnbull
17MidfielderS. McWilliams
21MidfielderJ. O'Toole
8MidfielderS. Foley
9ForwardA. Williams
10ForwardK. van Veen
7ForwardS. Hoskins6.66G
Grimsby
1GoalkeeperJ. McKeown
6DefenderD. Collins
24DefenderH. Davis
27DefenderL. Hendrie
19MidfielderA. Fox
30MidfielderB. Pringle
7MidfielderJ. Hessenthaler
15MidfielderH. Clifton
22MidfielderE. Embleton
18MidfielderC. Vernam7.010G10A
39ForwardW. Thomas

Match Summary

Northampton and Grimsby drew 2:2. The match was played in League Two 2018. Goals were scored by A. Williams 4′, C. Vernam 36′, K. van Veen 74′, H. Cardwell 80′. 1 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. Northampton made 3 substitutions, Grimsby made 3.

Rivalry since 2013

Northampton vs Grimsby Head to Head Results

6 stretnutí
Northampton
2
wins
Drawn
2
Grimsby
2
wins
Total goals
12 · 2.0/match
Both scored
2/6 · 33%
Over 2.5
2/6 · 33%

Recent Form

Northampton

LLLLLL

Grimsby

DWWWLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Northampton3wins
4draws8 meetings
Grimsby1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.1

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (25%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (56%) — the odds may underestimate Grimsby.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 58.9%Draw 25.0%Away 20.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.674.004.75
Max1.724.025.00
Market favourite:Northampton · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market56.3%23.8%19.8%
Public market56.4%24.2%19.4%

Northampton vs Grimsby — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Northampton (59%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

NorthamptonHalf-time:11Grimsby
11Shots8
6Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
18/02/23Northampton1–2Grimsby2.02/3.30/3.93
06/08/22Grimsby1–1Northampton3.05/3.24/2.39
29/02/20Grimsby0–3Northampton2.81/3.22/2.61
23/11/19Northampton2–0Grimsby1.88/4.04/3.84
16/03/19Grimsby0–0Northampton2.99/3.23/2.50
24/11/18Northampton2–2Grimsby1.70/4.01/4.86
14/11/09Northampton0–0Grimsby1.69/3.51/4.68
02/04/10Grimsby1–2Northampton3.20/3.33/2.19

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Northampton

W 241D 167L 181
Over 2.546
Goals scored801

Away Record: Grimsby

W 223D 181L 277
Over 2.548
Goals scored792

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026