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Forest Green vs Notts County

The New Lawn, Nailsworth9 February 2019 at 15:00
Referee: Neil Hair

Match Events

Forest Green
Notts County
Kick Off
Christian Doidge39′
Half Time
57′
J. O'Brien
62′Ryan Schofield
J. Mills
63′
R. ReidG. Williams
67′
67′
V. GomisK. Hemmings
74′
C. Mackail-SmithE. Hewitt
74′
J. SteadL. Alessandra
76′Jim O'Brien
77′
E. Boldewijn
79′Ben Barclay
L. JamesS. McCoulsky
79′
90′Robert Milsom
90′Kane Hemmings
C. WinchesterJ. Mondal
90+4′
Full Time

Lineups

Defensive Solidity

Forest Green deploy 5 defenders rated — on average, against Notts County's 2-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Forest Green field 3 midfielders averaging —, versus Notts County's 5 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Forest Green start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 3 for Notts County averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Forest GreenPosition StrengthNotts County
Forest Green
34GoalkeeperL. Ward
23DefenderJ. Mills
16DefenderG. Gunning
6DefenderF. Rawson
2DefenderL. Shephard
7DefenderC. Winchester
20MidfielderP. Digby
4MidfielderL. James
10MidfielderR. Brown
26ForwardR. Reid
9ForwardC. Doidge
Notts County
27GoalkeeperR. Schofield
6DefenderB. Barclay
18DefenderS. Stubbs
10MidfielderV. Gomis
24MidfielderR. Milsom
43MidfielderM. Doyle
26MidfielderM. Rose
11MidfielderE. Boldewijn
21ForwardJ. O'Brien
30ForwardJ. Stead
28ForwardC. Mackail-Smith

Match Summary

Notts County defeated Forest Green 2:1. The match was played in League Two 2018. Goals were scored by J. O'Brien 57′, J. Mills 63′, E. Boldewijn 77′. 6 yellow cards were shown. Forest Green made 3 substitutions, Notts County made 3.

Rivalry since 2017

Forest Green vs Notts County Head to Head Results

5 stretnutí
Forest Green
2
wins
Drawn
1
Notts County
2
wins
Total goals
17 · 3.4/match
Both scored
4/5 · 80%
Over 2.5
3/5 · 60%

Recent Form

Forest Green

LWLWDW

Notts County

DWLLWL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Forest Green2wins
1draws6 meetings
Notts County3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.3

Average goals per game

67%

Games with 3+ goals

83%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (33%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (60%) — the odds may underestimate Notts County.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 63.8%Draw 24.7%Away 16.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.553.965.79
Max1.584.207.00
Market favourite:Forest Green · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market59.8%23.9%16.3%
Public market62.9%23.2%13.9%
Δ3.1%0.7%2.4%

Forest Green vs Notts County — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Notts County
Result vs. Market: Forest Green (64%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Forest GreenHalf-time:00Notts County
14Shots11
6Shots on target8

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
27/04/24Forest Green1–0Notts County3.18/3.83/2.07
23/09/23Notts County4–3Forest Green1.48/4.44/5.92
09/02/19Forest Green1–2Notts County1.57/4.05/6.20
01/09/18Notts County1–3Forest Green2.64/3.44/2.69
10/03/18Forest Green1–2Notts County3.11/3.51/2.31
07/10/17Notts County1–1Forest Green1.49/4.35/7.35

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Forest Green

W 100D 69L 97
Over 2.546
Goals scored343

Away Record: Notts County

W 211D 159L 228
Over 2.552
Goals scored789

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026