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Carlisle vs Milton Keynes Dons

Brunton Park, Carlisle16 February 2019 at 15:00

Match Events

Carlisle
Milton Keynes Dons
Kick Off
11′
C. McGrandles

assist: D. Lewington

14′Baily Cargill
S. Scougall

Penalty

14′
Half Time
46′
B. CargillC. Aneke
60′Conor McGrandles
R. SlaterM. Cullen
66′
N. ThomasL. McCarron
67′
69′
J. Hesketh
77′
K. Agard

assist: A. Gilbey

80′
K. AgardD. Wheeler
81′Stuart Moore
S. ScougallJ. Kennedy
81′
83′Chuks Aneke
88′
J. HeskethS. Walker
H. Hope

assist: G. Liddle

90′
Full Time

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Carlisle is —, compared to 7.09 for Milton Keynes Dons. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Carlisle's highest-rated starter is —, while Milton Keynes Dons's best-rated player is A. Gilbey (7.09).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Carlisle have contributed 0 goals and 0 assists this season, led by —. Milton Keynes Dons's starters account for 12 goals and 4 assists, spearheaded by A. Gilbey (12G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Carlisle deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Milton Keynes Dons's 5-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Carlisle field 2 midfielders averaging —, versus Milton Keynes Dons's 4 rated 7.09. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Carlisle start 4 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 1 for Milton Keynes Dons averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages —% for Carlisle and 66% for Milton Keynes Dons. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Carlisle's starters have collected 0 yellow cards this season, compared to 9 for Milton Keynes Dons. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Carlisle's starting XI is — (youngest: —, oldest: —), while Milton Keynes Dons average 31.0 (youngest: A. Gilbey (31), oldest: A. Gilbey (31)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Carlisle's starters average 0 league appearances each, versus 44 for Milton Keynes Dons. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

CarlislePosition StrengthMilton Keynes Dons
Avg Rating
7.09
Midfielder (2 v 4)7.09
0G 0A12G 4A
Carlisle
30GoalkeeperA. Collin
2DefenderG. Miller
5DefenderA. Gerrard
18DefenderP. Grant
4DefenderG. Liddle
22MidfielderS. Scougall
15MidfielderR. Slater
21ForwardK. Etuhu
16ForwardN. Thomas
17ForwardC. O'Hare
9ForwardH. Hope
Milton Keynes Dons
22GoalkeeperS. Moore
3DefenderD. Lewington
16DefenderR. Martin
4DefenderJ. Walsh
26DefenderB. Cargill
25DefenderC. Brittain
6MidfielderO. Cissé
18MidfielderC. McGrandles
8MidfielderA. Gilbey7.112G4A
11MidfielderJ. Hesketh
14ForwardK. Agard

Match Summary

Milton Keynes Dons defeated Carlisle 3:2. The match was played in League Two 2018. Goals were scored by C. McGrandles 11′, S. Scougall 14′ (pen.), J. Hesketh 69′, K. Agard 77′, H. Hope 90′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Carlisle made 3 substitutions, Milton Keynes Dons made 3.

Rivalry since 2011

Carlisle vs Milton Keynes Dons Head to Head Results

9 stretnutí
Carlisle
3
wins
Drawn
2
Milton Keynes Dons
4
wins
Total goals
24 · 2.7/match
Both scored
4/9 · 44%
Over 2.5
5/9 · 56%

Recent Form

Carlisle

LWWWDD

Milton Keynes Dons

DWWWDD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Milton Keynes Dons dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Carlisle0wins
1draws4 meetings
Milton Keynes Dons3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.5

Average goals per game

75%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (35%) — the odds may underestimate Milton Keynes Dons.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 36.8%Draw 28.4%Away 39.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.703.402.50
Max2.753.602.60
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market35.4%26.7%37.9%
Public market35.4%27.1%37.5%

Carlisle vs Milton Keynes Dons — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Milton Keynes Dons
Result vs. Market: Milton Keynes Dons (39%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CarlisleHalf-time:11Milton Keynes Dons
15Shots9
2Shots on target7

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
25/03/25Carlisle2–2Milton Keynes Dons2.41/3.38/2.87
24/08/24Milton Keynes Dons3–0Carlisle1.78/3.76/4.23
16/02/19Carlisle2–3Milton Keynes Dons2.72/3.53/2.54
08/12/18Milton Keynes Dons2–0Carlisle1.56/4.12/6.21

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Carlisle

W 183D 139L 175
Over 2.549
Goals scored653

Away Record: Milton Keynes Dons

W 138D 62L 76
Over 2.553
Goals scored450

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026