League Two · Season 2018
Match Events
assist: D. Lewington
assist: M. Doyle
Lineups
Defensive Solidity
Notts County deploy 2 defenders rated — on average, against Milton Keynes Dons's 3-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Notts County field 7 midfielders averaging —, versus Milton Keynes Dons's 6 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Notts County start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 1 for Milton Keynes Dons averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Match Summary
Milton Keynes Dons defeated Notts County 2:1. The match was played in League Two 2018. Goals were scored by D. Wheeler 62′, C. Aneke 85′, B. Barclay 90′. 1 yellow cards were shown. Notts County made 2 substitutions, Milton Keynes Dons made 3.
Notts County vs Milton Keynes Dons Head to Head Results
15 stretnutíRecent Meetings
Recent Form
Notts County
Milton Keynes Dons
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.2
Average goals per game
70%
Games with 3+ goals
70%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (29%) — the odds may underestimate Notts County.
Market Summary
Margin: 4.4%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 3.25 | 3.50 | 2.15 |
| Max | 3.50 | 3.53 | 2.20 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 28.8% | 27.0% | 44.2% |
| Public market | 27.8% | 27.8% | 44.3% |
Notts County vs Milton Keynes Dons — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/12/0707/08 | Notts County | 1–2 | Milton Keynes Dons | 3.42/3.36/1.93 |
| 29/12/2525/26 | Milton Keynes Dons | 1–1 | Notts County | 1.86/3.40/3.90 |
| 09/12/2525/26 | Notts County | 3–2 | Milton Keynes Dons | 2.75/3.20/2.40 |
| 02/04/2524/25 | Notts County | 3–0 | Milton Keynes Dons | 1.70/4.06/4.29 |
| 26/12/2424/25 | Milton Keynes Dons | 0–2 | Notts County | 2.31/3.52/2.84 |
| 01/04/2423/24 | Notts County | 3–3 | Milton Keynes Dons | 2.73/3.72/2.39 |
| 09/09/2323/24 | Milton Keynes Dons | 1–1 | Notts County | 2.86/3.62/2.28 |
| 19/04/1918/19 | Notts County | 1–2 | Milton Keynes Dons | 3.35/3.51/2.17 |
| 23/10/1818/19 | Milton Keynes Dons | 2–1 | Notts County | 1.65/4.22/5.09 |
| 07/09/0707/08 | Milton Keynes Dons | 3–0 | Notts County | 1.71/3.42/4.38 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Notts County
Away Record: Milton Keynes Dons
Data: football-data.co.uk
API data: 11 May 2026