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Colchester vs Stevenage

JobServe Community Stadium, Colchester, Essex5 October 2019 at 15:00
31
Referee: N. Kinseley

Match Events

Colchester
Stevenage
Kick Off
17′
J. Cowley
Theo Robinson32′
Half Time
T. Eastman

assist: T. Robinson

48′
54′
T. SoaresE. Sonupe
66′
J. CowleyC. Mackail-Smith
74′Christopher Stokes
L. NorrisL. Gambin
75′
B. StevensonB. Sarpong Wiredu
76′
81′Paul Farman
F. Nouble

Penalty

82′
K. Poku

assist: F. Nouble

83′
85′
M. TimlinNoor Husin
F. NoubleJ. Brown
86′
Tom Eastman90′
Full Time

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal2
12Shots off Goal2
21Total Shots8
4Blocked Shots4
13Shots insidebox2
8Shots outsidebox6
11Fouls11
6Corner Kicks1
3Offsides1
55%Ball Possession45%
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves2
450Total passes370
342Passes accurate255
76%Passes %69%

Lineups

Defensive Solidity

Colchester deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Stevenage's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Colchester field 4 midfielders averaging —, versus Stevenage's 3 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Colchester start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 3 for Stevenage averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Colchester4-4-2Stevenage
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Gerken5Prosser2Jackson18Eastman3Bramall14Comley24Stevens.49Poku13Robinson45Nouble9Norris

Substitutes

Coach: J. McGreal

Substitutes

ColchesterPosition StrengthStevenage
Colchester4-4-2
1GoalkeeperD. Gerken
5DefenderL. Prosser
2DefenderR. Jackson
18DefenderT. Eastman
3DefenderC. Bramall
14MidfielderB. Comley
24MidfielderB. Stevenson
49MidfielderK. Poku
45MidfielderF. Nouble
13ForwardT. Robinson
9ForwardL. Norris
Stevenage
1GoalkeeperP. Farman
5DefenderS. Cuthbert
3DefenderC. Stokes
31DefenderB. Nugent
20DefenderK. Watts
44MidfielderM. Timlin
6MidfielderT. Soares
7MidfielderC. Carter
28ForwardK. Guthrie
10ForwardB. Kennedy
9ForwardJ. Cowley

Match Summary

Colchester defeated Stevenage 3:1. The match was played in League Two 2019. Goals were scored by J. Cowley 17′, T. Eastman 48′, F. Nouble 82′ (pen.), K. Poku 83′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Colchester had 55% possession while Stevenage held 45%. Colchester had 21 shots (5 on target) compared to 8 (2 on target) for Stevenage. Colchester made 3 substitutions, Stevenage made 3.

Rivalry since 2011

Colchester vs Stevenage Head to Head Results

21 stretnutí
Colchester
8
wins
Drawn
7
Stevenage
6
wins
Total goals
55 · 2.6/match
Both scored
11/21 · 52%
Over 2.5
9/21 · 43%

Recent Form

Colchester

WLLWWW

Stevenage

WDWDLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Colchester2wins
4draws10 meetings
Stevenage4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.2

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (51%) — the odds may underestimate Stevenage.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 53.5%Draw 27.5%Away 23.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.833.504.33
Max1.903.754.39
Over 2.5: 46.5%Under 2.5: 60.2%
Market favourite:Colchester · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market51.5%26.5%22.0%
Public market51.4%26.0%22.6%

Colchester vs Stevenage — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Colchester
Result vs. Market: Colchester (53%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

ColchesterHalf-time:01Stevenage
21Shots8
5Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
07/04/23Stevenage1–1Colchester1.64/3.63/5.98
29/10/22Colchester1–1Stevenage3.65/3.40/2.07
09/04/22Colchester0–2Stevenage2.36/3.20/3.10
20/11/21Stevenage1–0Colchester2.25/3.26/3.25
26/01/21Stevenage0–0Colchester2.16/3.24/3.55
03/11/20Colchester3–1Stevenage2.26/3.27/3.27
04/01/20Stevenage0–0Colchester3.18/3.19/2.42
05/10/19Colchester3–1Stevenage1.87/3.63/4.35
26/12/18Colchester1–2Stevenage1.74/3.68/5.13
06/10/18Stevenage3–1Colchester3.10/3.34/2.40

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Colchester

W 152D 136L 163
Over 2.544
Goals scored546

Away Record: Stevenage

W 155D 130L 165
Over 2.544
Goals scored533

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026