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Carlisle vs Grimsby

Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria14 December 2019 at 15:00
00
Referee: M. Edwards

Match Events

Carlisle
Grimsby
Kick Off
10′Ethan Robson
43′
J. HansonC. Vernam
Half Time
C. CarrollC. Elliot
46′
H. McKirdyM. Sagaf
65′
66′Matt Green
75′Liam Gibson
77′
M. GreenA. Rose
S. ScougallO. Olomola
79′
80′Max Wright
84′
M. WrightE. Whitehouse
Full Time

Match Statistics

1Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal9
16Total Shots14
9Blocked Shots2
8Shots insidebox9
8Shots outsidebox5
16Fouls17
4Corner Kicks3
1Offsides5
49%Ball Possession51%
0Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves1
326Total passes329
199Passes accurate190
61%Passes %58%

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Carlisle is 6.30, compared to — for Grimsby. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Carlisle's highest-rated starter is A. Hayden (6.30), while Grimsby's best-rated player is —.

Defensive Solidity

Carlisle deploy 3 defenders rated 6.30 on average, against Grimsby's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Carlisle field 5 midfielders averaging —, versus Grimsby's 3 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Carlisle start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 3 for Grimsby averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 71% for Carlisle and —% for Grimsby. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Carlisle's starters have collected 1 yellow cards this season, compared to 0 for Grimsby. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Carlisle's starting XI is 28.0 (youngest: A. Hayden (28), oldest: A. Hayden (28)), while Grimsby average — (youngest: —, oldest: —). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Carlisle's starters average 2 league appearances each, versus 0 for Grimsby. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Carlisle4-4-24-3-3Grimsby
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Collin6Hayden8Jones10Scougall14Jones7Thomas11McKirdy4Carroll23Branthw.9Hope25Loft1McKeown6Waterfa.4Davis2Hendrie3Gibson8Hessent.15Clifton19Wright12Robson7Green9Hanson

Substitutes

Coach: C. Beech

Substitutes

Coach: A. Limbrick

CarlislePosition StrengthGrimsby
6.30
Avg Rating
6.30Defender (3 v 4)
0G 0A0G 0A
Carlisle4-4-2
1GoalkeeperA. Collin
6DefenderA. Hayden6.3
4DefenderC. Carroll
23DefenderJ. Branthwaite
8MidfielderM. Jones
10MidfielderS. Scougall
14MidfielderG. Jones
7MidfielderN. Thomas
11MidfielderH. McKirdy
9ForwardH. Hope
25ForwardR. Loft
Grimsby4-3-3
1GoalkeeperJ. McKeown
6DefenderL. Waterfall
4DefenderH. Davis
2DefenderL. Hendrie
3DefenderL. Gibson
8MidfielderJ. Hessenthaler
15MidfielderH. Clifton
12MidfielderE. Robson
19ForwardM. Wright
7ForwardM. Green
9ForwardJ. Hanson

Match Summary

Carlisle and Grimsby drew 0:0. The match was played in League Two 2019. 4 yellow cards were shown. Carlisle had 49% possession while Grimsby held 51%. Carlisle had 16 shots (1 on target) compared to 14 (3 on target) for Grimsby. Carlisle made 3 substitutions, Grimsby made 3.

Rivalry since 2016

Carlisle vs Grimsby Head to Head Results

12 stretnutí
Carlisle
4
wins
Drawn
3
Grimsby
5
wins
Total goals
30 · 2.5/match
Both scored
7/12 · 58%
Over 2.5
5/12 · 42%

Recent Form

Carlisle

LWWWDD

Grimsby

DWWWLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Carlisle3wins
3draws10 meetings
Grimsby4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2

Average goals per game

30%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (40%) — the odds may underestimate Grimsby.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 41.9%Draw 29.4%Away 32.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.353.402.90
Max2.413.423.20
Over 2.5: 50.0%Under 2.5: 55.6%
Market favourite:Carlisle · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market39.9%28.1%32.0%
Public market40.7%28.7%30.5%
Δ0.8%0.6%1.4%

Carlisle vs Grimsby — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Carlisle (42%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CarlisleHalf-time:00Grimsby
16Shots14
1Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
08/02/25Grimsby2–1Carlisle2.11/3.39/3.39
28/09/24Carlisle2–3Grimsby2.10/3.42/3.38
04/03/23Carlisle2–0Grimsby1.73/3.62/5.11
27/09/22Grimsby1–2Carlisle2.05/3.29/3.83
09/03/21Carlisle1–1Grimsby1.56/3.84/6.16
24/10/20Grimsby1–1Carlisle2.84/3.50/2.40
14/12/19Carlisle0–0Grimsby2.39/3.41/3.04
22/04/19Grimsby1–0Carlisle3.25/3.35/2.29
02/10/18Carlisle0–1Grimsby2.02/3.42/3.98
18/11/17Grimsby0–1Carlisle2.83/3.34/2.60

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Carlisle

W 183D 139L 175
Over 2.549
Goals scored653

Away Record: Grimsby

W 223D 181L 277
Over 2.548
Goals scored792

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026