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Grimsby vs Stevenage

Blundell Park, Cleethorpes, North East Lincolnshire28 January 2020 at 19:45
31
Referee: T. Nield

Match Events

Grimsby
Stevenage
Kick Off
J. HessenthalerJ. Benson
4′
B. Nugent

Own Goal

16′
Half Time
B. Clarke

Penalty

63′
Billy Clarke64′
64′
S. JacksonD. Parkhouse
72′
T. DentonE. List
C. Vernam

assist: J. Benson

72′
J. HansonM. Green
76′
Luke Hendrie78′
79′Charlie Lakin
B. ClarkeJ. Tilley
80′
83′
D. DaboT. Vancooten
87′Ben Nugent
90+2′
C. Lakin
Full Time

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal7
3Shots off Goal8
11Total Shots19
3Blocked Shots4
8Shots insidebox10
3Shots outsidebox9
15Fouls9
3Corner Kicks7
2Offsides1
53%Ball Possession47%
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
6Goalkeeper Saves3
373Total passes317
239Passes accurate199
64%Passes %63%

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Grimsby is 7.05, compared to 6.78 for Stevenage. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Grimsby's highest-rated starter is C. Vernam (7.05), while Stevenage's best-rated player is L. Wildin (6.78).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Grimsby have contributed 10 goals and 10 assists this season, led by C. Vernam (10G). Stevenage's starters account for 1 goals and 2 assists, spearheaded by L. Wildin (1G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Grimsby deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Stevenage's 4-man backline averaging 6.78. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Grimsby field 3 midfielders averaging —, versus Stevenage's 5 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Grimsby start 3 forward(s) averaging 7.05, compared to 1 for Stevenage averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 75% for Grimsby and 62% for Stevenage. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Grimsby's starters have collected 1 yellow cards this season, compared to 1 for Stevenage. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Grimsby's starting XI is 29.0 (youngest: C. Vernam (29), oldest: C. Vernam (29)), while Stevenage average 28.0 (youngest: L. Wildin (28), oldest: L. Wildin (28)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Grimsby's starters average 40 league appearances each, versus 33 for Stevenage. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Grimsby4-3-34-2-3-1Stevenage
GKDEFMIDFWD
1McKeown5Öhman2Hendrie33Driscol.25Pollock10Whiteho.8Hessent.15Clifton18Vernam16Clarke9Hanson1Farman5Cuthbert31Nugent2Wildin33Denton26Dabo4Digby7Carter32Lakin41Jackson20Cassidy

Substitutes

Coach: I. Holloway

Substitutes

Coach: G. Westley

GrimsbyPosition StrengthStevenage
7.05
Avg Rating
6.78
Defender (4 v 4)6.78
0G 0A1G 2A
7.05Forward (3 v 1)
10G 10A0G 0A
Grimsby4-3-3
1GoalkeeperJ. McKeown
5DefenderL. Öhman
2DefenderL. Hendrie
33DefenderA. Driscoll-Glennon
25DefenderM. Pollock
10MidfielderE. Whitehouse
8MidfielderJ. Hessenthaler
15MidfielderH. Clifton
18ForwardC. Vernam7.010G10A
16ForwardB. Clarke
9ForwardJ. Hanson
Stevenage4-2-3-1
1GoalkeeperP. Farman
5DefenderS. Cuthbert
31DefenderB. Nugent
2DefenderL. Wildin6.81G2A
33DefenderT. Denton
26MidfielderD. Dabo
4MidfielderP. Digby
7MidfielderC. Carter
32MidfielderC. Lakin
41MidfielderS. Jackson
20ForwardJ. Cassidy

Match Summary

Grimsby defeated Stevenage 3:1. The match was played in League Two 2019. Goals were scored by B. Nugent 16′ (o.g.), B. Clarke 63′ (pen.), C. Vernam 72′, C. Lakin 90′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Grimsby had 53% possession while Stevenage held 47%. Grimsby had 11 shots (5 on target) compared to 19 (7 on target) for Stevenage. Grimsby made 3 substitutions, Stevenage made 3.

Rivalry since 2016

Grimsby vs Stevenage Head to Head Results

11 stretnutí
Grimsby
1
wins
Drawn
3
Stevenage
7
wins
Total goals
26 · 2.4/match
Both scored
5/11 · 45%
Over 2.5
4/11 · 36%

Recent Form

Grimsby

DWWWLW

Stevenage

WDWDLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Stevenage dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Grimsby1wins
3draws10 meetings
Stevenage6wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.1

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (44%) — the odds may underestimate Stevenage.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 46.7%Draw 32.6%Away 24.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.103.003.90
Max2.183.204.20
Over 2.5: 40.0%Under 2.5: 66.7%
Market favourite:Grimsby · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market44.1%32.0%23.9%
Public market46.4%30.4%23.2%
Δ2.3%1.5%0.7%

Grimsby vs Stevenage — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Grimsby
Result vs. Market: Grimsby (47%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

GrimsbyHalf-time:10Stevenage
11Shots19
5Shots on target7

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
29/04/23Stevenage2–0Grimsby1.67/3.73/5.49
19/11/22Grimsby1–1Stevenage3.10/3.19/2.41
30/01/21Grimsby1–2Stevenage2.66/3.29/2.65
31/10/20Stevenage0–0Grimsby2.39/3.18/3.09
28/01/20Grimsby3–1Stevenage2.14/3.07/4.04
12/10/19Stevenage2–1Grimsby2.77/3.33/2.65
06/04/19Grimsby0–2Stevenage2.37/3.38/3.06
22/09/18Stevenage1–0Grimsby1.90/3.66/4.12
30/03/18Grimsby0–0Stevenage2.37/3.24/3.16
19/08/17Stevenage3–1Grimsby2.26/3.45/3.28

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Grimsby

W 223D 181L 277
Over 2.548
Goals scored792

Away Record: Stevenage

W 155D 130L 165
Over 2.544
Goals scored533

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026