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Oldham vs Forest Green

Boundary Park, Oldham, Greater Manchester15 February 2020 at 15:00
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Oldham

11
Referee: M. Edwards

Match Events

Oldham
Forest Green
Kick Off
Half Time
G. Nepomuceno
56′
60′
J. AitchisonG. Williams
60′
J. BrownR. Hall
Z. DearnleyM. Maouche
66′
68′
A. CollinsJ. March
Christopher Missilou70′
C. MissilouM. Sylla
74′
J. SmithJ. Branger
83′
88′
G. Williams

assist: L. Kitching

Full Time

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal6
3Shots off Goal6
9Total Shots17
4Blocked Shots5
2Shots insidebox6
7Shots outsidebox11
17Fouls4
7Corner Kicks7
2Offsides2
33%Ball Possession67%
1Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards0
5Goalkeeper Saves1
298Total passes605
211Passes accurate509
71%Passes %84%

Lineups

Defensive Solidity

Oldham deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Forest Green's 3-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Oldham field 4 midfielders averaging —, versus Forest Green's 5 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Oldham start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Forest Green averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Oldham4-4-23-4-2-1Forest Green
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Woods33Piergia.2Mills57Borthwi.26Smith34Hamer25McCann17Missilou55Dearnley56Rowe11Nepomuc.24Thomas30Stokes6Rawson20Kitching18Dawson7Winches.16Brown14Adams19McGinley10Collins29Aitchis.

Substitutes

Coach: L. Banide

Substitutes

Coach: M. Cooper

OldhamPosition StrengthForest Green
Oldham4-4-2
1GoalkeeperG. Woods
33DefenderC. Piergianni
2DefenderZ. Mills
57DefenderC. Borthwick-Jackson
34DefenderT. Hamer
26MidfielderJ. Smith
25MidfielderC. McCann
17MidfielderC. Missilou
11MidfielderG. Nepomuceno
55ForwardZ. Dearnley
56ForwardD. Rowe
Forest Green3-4-2-1
24GoalkeeperL. Thomas
30DefenderC. Stokes
6DefenderF. Rawson
20DefenderL. Kitching
18MidfielderK. Dawson
7MidfielderC. Winchester
14MidfielderE. Adams
19MidfielderN. McGinley
10MidfielderA. Collins
16ForwardJ. Brown
29ForwardJ. Aitchison

Match Summary

Oldham and Forest Green drew 1:1. The match was played in League Two 2019. Goals were scored by G. Nepomuceno 56′, G. Williams 88′. 1 yellow cards were shown. Oldham had 33% possession while Forest Green held 67%. Oldham had 9 shots (2 on target) compared to 17 (6 on target) for Forest Green. Oldham made 3 substitutions, Forest Green made 3.

Rivalry since 2018

Oldham vs Forest Green Head to Head Results

9 stretnutí
Oldham
1
wins
Drawn
3
Forest Green
5
wins
Total goals
27 · 3.0/match
Both scored
3/9 · 33%
Over 2.5
3/9 · 33%

Recent Form

Oldham

WLLLLD

Forest Green

LWLWDW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Oldham0wins
4draws8 meetings
Forest Green4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.4

Average goals per game

38%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (33%) — the odds may underestimate Forest Green.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 35.6%Draw 30.5%Away 39.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.753.252.50
Max2.883.302.60
Over 2.5: 48.8%Under 2.5: 57.1%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market33.4%29.3%37.3%
Public market34.4%29.1%36.4%
Δ1.0%0.2%0.9%

Oldham vs Forest Green — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Forest Green (39%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

OldhamHalf-time:00Forest Green
9Shots17
2Shots on target6

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
18/04/22Forest Green2–0Oldham1.41/4.53/7.89
11/12/21Oldham5–5Forest Green4.34/3.77/1.79
08/05/21Oldham0–3Forest Green3.97/3.74/1.85
16/02/21Forest Green4–3Oldham1.91/3.57/3.96
15/02/20Oldham1–1Forest Green2.81/3.28/2.56
03/08/19Forest Green1–0Oldham2.04/3.57/3.62
12/01/19Oldham0–0Forest Green2.36/3.36/3.09
11/08/18Forest Green1–1Oldham2.53/3.23/2.97

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Oldham

W 67D 62L 92
Over 2.554
Goals scored289

Away Record: Forest Green

W 100D 69L 97
Over 2.546
Goals scored343

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026