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Cheltenham vs Northampton

Jonny-Rocks Stadium, Cheltenham, Gloucestershire25 February 2020 at 19:45
Referee: C. Hicks

Match Events

Cheltenham
Northampton
Kick Off
3′
R. Watson
R. Broom

assist: J. Doyle-Hayes

19′
William Boyle31′
33′Michael Harriman
Half Time
46′
P. AndersonS. Wharton
64′Chris Lines
77′Scott Wharton
R. ReidL. Varney
81′
84′Callum Morton
L. Varney
85′
86′
S. HoskinsM. Marshall
Luke Varney87′
87′
N. AdamsA. McCormack
A. MayA. Addai
90+1′
Full Time

Match Statistics

7Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal8
16Total Shots12
5Blocked Shots1
10Shots insidebox6
6Shots outsidebox6
10Fouls15
8Corner Kicks7
2Offsides3
56%Ball Possession44%
2Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves4
335Total passes255
212Passes accurate139
63%Passes %55%

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Cheltenham is 6.56, compared to 6.61 for Northampton. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Cheltenham's highest-rated starter is R. Broom (6.56), while Northampton's best-rated player is S. Hoskins (6.61).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Cheltenham have contributed 0 goals and 0 assists this season, led by —. Northampton's starters account for 6 goals and 0 assists, spearheaded by S. Hoskins (6G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Cheltenham deploy 3 defenders rated — on average, against Northampton's 3-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Cheltenham field 5 midfielders averaging 6.56, versus Northampton's 5 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Cheltenham start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Northampton averaging 6.61. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 73% for Cheltenham and 62% for Northampton. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Cheltenham's starters have collected 2 yellow cards this season, compared to 6 for Northampton. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Cheltenham's starting XI is 29.0 (youngest: R. Broom (29), oldest: R. Broom (29)), while Northampton average 32.0 (youngest: S. Hoskins (32), oldest: S. Hoskins (32)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Cheltenham's starters average 30 league appearances each, versus 42 for Northampton. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Cheltenham3-5-23-4-1-2Northampton
GKDEFMIDFWD
33Evans4Tozer3Hussey5Raglan2Long15Boyle7Thomas21Doyle-H.11Broom9Reid29May1Cornell23Harriman33Jones6Turnbull5Goode44Anderson14Lines10Adams8Watson39Morton7Hoskins

Substitutes

Coach: M. Duff

Substitutes

Coach: K. Curle

CheltenhamPosition StrengthNorthampton
6.56
Avg Rating
6.61
6.56Midfielder (5 v 5)
0G 0A0G 0A
Forward (2 v 2)6.61
0G 0A6G 0A
Cheltenham3-5-2
33GoalkeeperO. Evans
4DefenderB. Tozer
5DefenderC. Raglan
15DefenderW. Boyle
3MidfielderC. Hussey
2MidfielderS. Long
7MidfielderC. Thomas
21MidfielderJ. Doyle-Hayes
11MidfielderR. Broom6.6
9ForwardR. Reid
29ForwardA. May
Northampton3-4-1-2
1GoalkeeperD. Cornell
33DefenderL. Jones
6DefenderJ. Turnbull
5DefenderC. Goode
23MidfielderM. Harriman
14MidfielderC. Lines
10MidfielderN. Adams
8MidfielderR. Watson
39MidfielderC. Morton
44ForwardP. Anderson
7ForwardS. Hoskins6.66G

Match Summary

Cheltenham defeated Northampton 2:1. The match was played in League Two 2019. Goals were scored by R. Watson 3′, R. Broom 19′, L. Varney 85′. 6 yellow cards were shown. Cheltenham had 56% possession while Northampton held 44%. Cheltenham had 16 shots (7 on target) compared to 12 (3 on target) for Northampton. Cheltenham made 2 substitutions, Northampton made 3.

Rivalry since 2011

Cheltenham vs Northampton Head to Head Results

19 stretnutí
Cheltenham
9
wins
Drawn
4
Northampton
6
wins
Total goals
49 · 2.6/match
Both scored
9/19 · 47%
Over 2.5
7/19 · 37%

Recent Form

Cheltenham

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Northampton

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Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Cheltenham dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Cheltenham6wins
3draws10 meetings
Northampton1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

80%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (44%) — the odds may underestimate Cheltenham.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 47.1%Draw 29.8%Away 28.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.103.303.50
Max2.173.403.60
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 58.8%
Market favourite:Cheltenham · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market44.3%28.4%27.2%
Public market45.4%28.1%26.5%
Δ1.1%0.4%0.7%

Cheltenham vs Northampton — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Cheltenham
Result vs. Market: Cheltenham (47%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CheltenhamHalf-time:11Northampton
16Shots12
7Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
25/02/20Cheltenham2–1Northampton2.12/3.36/3.54
29/12/19Northampton1–1Cheltenham2.41/3.40/2.99
23/03/19Cheltenham3–1Northampton2.75/3.43/2.58
08/09/18Northampton1–3Cheltenham1.68/4.11/4.89
18/10/14Cheltenham3–2Northampton2.50/3.30/2.98
18/04/15Northampton2–0Cheltenham1.75/3.71/5.12
26/10/13Northampton1–1Cheltenham2.59/3.33/2.83
01/02/14Cheltenham1–1Northampton2.00/3.41/4.10
08/12/12Northampton2–3Cheltenham2.46/3.38/2.85
01/04/13Cheltenham1–0Northampton2.12/3.40/3.41

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Cheltenham

W 234D 194L 252
Over 2.545
Goals scored842

Away Record: Northampton

W 241D 167L 181
Over 2.546
Goals scored801

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026