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Harrogate Town vs Carlisle

CNG Stadium, Harrogate, North Yorkshire16 February 2021 at 19:00

Match Events

Harrogate Town
Carlisle
Kick Off
J. March

Penalty

28′
Half Time
57′
L. AlessandraO. Zanzala
64′
E. WalkerG. Touré
Edward Francis66′
J. MarchM. Beck
73′
75′
J. RileyJ. Mellish
75′
N. AndertonO. Patrick
76′George Tanner
E. FrancisJ. Lawlor
76′
J. FalkinghamL. Kerry
84′
Full Time

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal3
9Total Shots11
2Blocked Shots6
7Shots insidebox6
2Shots outsidebox5
16Fouls14
3Corner Kicks4
0Offsides2
50%Ball Possession50%
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves3
323Total passes306
153Passes accurate142
47%Passes %46%

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Harrogate Town is 6.64, compared to 6.30 for Carlisle. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Harrogate Town's highest-rated starter is J. Belshaw (6.80), while Carlisle's best-rated player is A. Hayden (6.30).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Harrogate Town have contributed 1 goals and 1 assists this season, led by W. Burrell (1G). Carlisle's starters account for 0 goals and 0 assists, spearheaded by —. Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Harrogate Town deploy 4 defenders rated 6.73 on average, against Carlisle's 4-man backline averaging 6.30. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Harrogate Town field 4 midfielders averaging 6.52, versus Carlisle's 3 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Harrogate Town start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 3 for Carlisle averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 69% for Harrogate Town and 71% for Carlisle. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Harrogate Town's starters have collected 5 yellow cards this season, compared to 1 for Carlisle. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Harrogate Town's starting XI is 34.5 (youngest: G. Thomson (33), oldest: J. Belshaw (35)), while Carlisle average 28.0 (youngest: A. Hayden (28), oldest: A. Hayden (28)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Harrogate Town's starters average 16 league appearances each, versus 2 for Carlisle. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Harrogate Town4-4-24-3-3Carlisle
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Belshaw20Hall22Francis5Smith6Burrell4Falking.7Thomson30Power28McPake10Martin24March21Farman32Bennett3Anderton6Hayden16Dickens.7Riley8Guy33Walker9Alessan.2Tanner14Kayode

Substitutes

Coach: S. Weaver

Substitutes

Coach: C. Beech

Harrogate TownPosition StrengthCarlisle
6.64
Avg Rating
6.30
6.80Goalkeeper (1 v 1)
0G 0A0G 0A
6.73Defender (4 v 4)6.30
1G 1A0G 0A
6.52Midfielder (4 v 3)
0G 0A0G 0A
Harrogate Town4-4-2
1GoalkeeperJ. Belshaw6.8
20DefenderC. Hall
22DefenderE. Francis
5DefenderW. Smith
6DefenderW. Burrell6.71G1A
4MidfielderJ. Falkingham6.5
7MidfielderG. Thomson6.6
30MidfielderS. Power
28MidfielderJ. McPake
10ForwardA. Martin
24ForwardJ. March
Carlisle4-3-3
21GoalkeeperP. Farman
32DefenderR. Bennett
3DefenderN. Anderton
6DefenderA. Hayden6.3
2DefenderG. Tanner
16MidfielderB. Dickenson
7MidfielderJ. Riley
8MidfielderC. Guy
33ForwardE. Walker
9ForwardL. Alessandra
14ForwardJ. Kayode

Match Summary

Harrogate Town defeated Carlisle 1:0. The match was played in League Two 2020. Goals were scored by J. March 28′ (pen.). 2 yellow cards were shown. Harrogate Town had 50% possession while Carlisle held 50%. Harrogate Town had 9 shots (4 on target) compared to 11 (2 on target) for Carlisle. Harrogate Town made 3 substitutions, Carlisle made 4.

Rivalry since 2021

Harrogate Town vs Carlisle Head to Head Results

11 stretnutí
Harrogate Town
6
wins
Drawn
3
Carlisle
2
wins
Total goals
23 · 2.1/match
Both scored
3/11 · 27%
Over 2.5
2/11 · 18%

Recent Form

Harrogate Town

LWWLLW

Carlisle

LWWWDD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Harrogate Town dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Harrogate Town5wins
3draws8 meetings
Carlisle0wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

25%

Games with 3+ goals

38%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (75%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (28%) — the odds may underestimate Harrogate Town.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 30.3%Draw 30.5%Away 44.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.203.202.20
Max3.403.342.27
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 58.8%
Market favourite:Carlisle · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market28.4%29.0%42.6%
Public market28.8%28.8%42.3%

Harrogate Town vs Carlisle — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Harrogate Town
Result vs. Market: Carlisle (45%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Harrogate TownHalf-time:10Carlisle
9Shots11
4Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
08/03/25Harrogate Town1–0Carlisle2.79/3.17/2.56
19/10/24Carlisle1–1Harrogate Town1.89/3.60/3.97
04/02/23Carlisle0–1Harrogate Town1.62/3.89/5.52
08/11/22Harrogate Town3–3Carlisle3.17/3.37/2.28
23/04/22Harrogate Town3–0Carlisle2.36/3.39/2.99
23/11/21Carlisle0–2Harrogate Town2.48/3.28/2.85
24/04/21Carlisle1–1Harrogate Town2.16/3.35/3.39
16/02/21Harrogate Town1–0Carlisle3.30/3.28/2.24

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Harrogate Town

W 83D 68L 125
Over 2.550
Goals scored317

Away Record: Carlisle

W 183D 139L 175
Over 2.549
Goals scored653

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026