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Grimsby vs Forest Green

Blundell Park, Cleethorpes, North East Lincolnshire6 March 2021 at 15:00
12
Referee: P. Wright

Match Events

Grimsby
Forest Green
Kick Off
19′
J. Matt

Penalty

Jay Matete30′
J. Hanson

assist: L. Hendrie

38′
I. El MizouniJ. Bunney
45+3′
Half Time
66′
E. Adams
L. John-LewisM. Green
81′
Filipe MoraisS. Payne
87′
90+2′
E. AdamsJ. Richardson
Full Time

Match Statistics

1Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal3
6Total Shots10
0Blocked Shots2
2Shots insidebox4
4Shots outsidebox6
17Fouls14
2Corner Kicks3
3Offsides3
47%Ball Possession53%
1Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves0
378Total passes419
243Passes accurate281
64%Passes %67%

Lineups

Defensive Solidity

Grimsby deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Forest Green's 3-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Grimsby field 4 midfielders averaging —, versus Forest Green's 4 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Grimsby start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 3 for Forest Green averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Grimsby4-4-23-4-1-2Forest Green
GKDEFMIDFWD
44Eastwood36Habergh.2Hendrie22Hewitt26Menayese38Mizouni18Morais8Coke20Matete21John-Le.9Hanson1McGee21Wagstaff5Stokes2Wilson22Godwin-.3Bernard20Whiteho.8Adams14Matt10Collins23Davison

Substitutes

Coach: P. Hurst

Substitutes

Coach: M. Cooper

GrimsbyPosition StrengthForest Green
Grimsby4-4-2
44GoalkeeperJ. Eastwood
36DefenderS. Habergham
2DefenderL. Hendrie
22DefenderE. Hewitt
26DefenderR. Menayese
38MidfielderI. El Mizouni
18MidfielderFilipe Morais
8MidfielderG. Coke
20MidfielderJ. Matete
21ForwardL. John-Lewis
9ForwardJ. Hanson
Forest Green3-4-1-2
1GoalkeeperL. McGee
5DefenderC. Stokes
22DefenderU. Godwin-Malife
3DefenderD. Bernard
21MidfielderS. Wagstaff
2MidfielderK. Wilson
20MidfielderE. Whitehouse
8MidfielderE. Adams
14ForwardJ. Matt
10ForwardA. Collins
23ForwardJ. Davison

Match Summary

Forest Green defeated Grimsby 2:1. The match was played in League Two 2020. Goals were scored by J. Matt 19′ (pen.), J. Hanson 38′, E. Adams 66′. 1 yellow cards were shown. Grimsby had 47% possession while Forest Green held 53%. Grimsby had 6 shots (1 on target) compared to 10 (5 on target) for Forest Green. Grimsby made 3 substitutions, Forest Green made 1.

Rivalry since 2011

Grimsby vs Forest Green Head to Head Results

19 stretnutí
Grimsby
10
wins
Drawn
3
Forest Green
6
wins
Total goals
45 · 2.4/match
Both scored
9/19 · 47%
Over 2.5
10/19 · 53%

Recent Form

Grimsby

DWWWLW

Forest Green

LWLWDW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Grimsby3wins
2draws10 meetings
Forest Green5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.6

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (21%) — the odds may underestimate Grimsby.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 22.3%Draw 29.0%Away 54.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min4.203.401.80
Max4.753.501.88
Over 2.5: 48.3%Under 2.5: 58.1%
Market favourite:Forest Green · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market21.3%27.7%51.0%
Public market20.0%27.2%52.8%
Δ1.3%0.5%1.9%

Grimsby vs Forest Green — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Forest Green
Result vs. Market: Forest Green (54%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

GrimsbyHalf-time:11Forest Green
6Shots10
1Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
02/03/24Grimsby1–0Forest Green2.03/3.56/3.60
18/11/23Forest Green2–2Grimsby2.41/3.47/2.84
06/03/21Grimsby1–2Forest Green4.48/3.45/1.84
27/10/20Forest Green1–0Grimsby1.65/3.84/5.36
01/02/20Grimsby2–2Forest Green2.74/3.17/2.76
17/08/19Forest Green1–0Grimsby2.06/3.30/4.04
22/01/19Forest Green3–0Grimsby1.68/3.99/5.05
04/08/18Grimsby1–4Forest Green2.33/3.31/3.22
05/05/18Forest Green0–3Grimsby2.23/3.55/3.21
09/12/17Grimsby1–0Forest Green1.90/3.56/4.18

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Grimsby

W 223D 181L 277
Over 2.548
Goals scored792

Away Record: Forest Green

W 100D 69L 97
Over 2.546
Goals scored343

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026