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Doncaster vs Carlisle

Eco-Power Stadium, Doncaster, South Yorkshire1 January 2023 at 15:00
21
Referee: B. Speedie

Match Events

Doncaster
Carlisle
Kick Off
J. Maxwell
5′
Charlie Seaman12′
26′
J. StrettonT. Sho-Silva
Half Time
46′
J. GibsonJ. Harris
58′Jayden Harris
K. Hurst

assist: G. Miller

67′
L. MolyneuxM. Woltman
79′
82′
C. GuyJ. Devitt
G. MillerK. Agard
86′
K. HurstA. Barlow
87′
87′
K. Dennis

assist: T. Sho-Silva

Full Time

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal2
7Shots off Goal3
17Total Shots7
6Blocked Shots2
8Shots insidebox4
9Shots outsidebox3
8Fouls6
5Corner Kicks0
4Offsides2
54%Ball Possession46%
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves2
383Total passes337
240Passes accurate192
63%Passes %57%

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Doncaster is 6.80, compared to — for Carlisle. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Doncaster's highest-rated starter is J. Maxwell (6.84), while Carlisle's best-rated player is —.

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Doncaster have contributed 9 goals and 9 assists this season, led by L. Molyneux (8G). Carlisle's starters account for 0 goals and 0 assists, spearheaded by —. Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Doncaster deploy 3 defenders rated — on average, against Carlisle's 5-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Doncaster field 4 midfielders averaging 6.79, versus Carlisle's 3 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Doncaster start 3 forward(s) averaging 6.84, compared to 2 for Carlisle averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 71% for Doncaster and —% for Carlisle. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Doncaster's starters have collected 9 yellow cards this season, compared to 0 for Carlisle. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Doncaster's starting XI is 26.7 (youngest: J. Maxwell (24), oldest: B. Close (29)), while Carlisle average — (youngest: —, oldest: —). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Doncaster's starters average 27 league appearances each, versus 0 for Carlisle. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Doncaster3-4-35-3-2Carlisle
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Mitchell2Knoyle6Williams4Anderson19Seaman14Biggins33Close3Maxwell7Molyneux9Miller21Hurst1Holý2Senior5Feeney6Hunting.22Mellish3Armer8Guy4Moxon14Dennis7Gibson32Stretton

Substitutes

Coach: D. Schofield

Substitutes

Coach: P. Simpson

DoncasterPosition StrengthCarlisle
6.80
Avg Rating
6.79Midfielder (4 v 3)
1G 2A0G 0A
6.84Forward (3 v 2)
8G 7A0G 0A
Doncaster3-4-3
1GoalkeeperJ. Mitchell
2DefenderK. Knoyle
6DefenderR. Williams
4DefenderT. Anderson
19MidfielderC. Seaman
14MidfielderH. Biggins
33MidfielderB. Close6.71G
3MidfielderJ. Maxwell6.82A
7ForwardL. Molyneux6.88G7A
9ForwardG. Miller
21ForwardK. Hurst
Carlisle5-3-2
1GoalkeeperT. Holý
2DefenderJ. Senior
5DefenderM. Feeney
6DefenderP. Huntington
22DefenderJ. Mellish
3DefenderJ. Armer
8MidfielderC. Guy
4MidfielderO. Moxon
14MidfielderK. Dennis
7ForwardJ. Gibson
32ForwardJ. Stretton

Match Summary

Doncaster defeated Carlisle 2:1. The match was played in League Two 2022. Goals were scored by J. Maxwell 5′, K. Hurst 67′, K. Dennis 87′. 2 yellow cards were shown. Doncaster had 54% possession while Carlisle held 46%. Doncaster had 17 shots (4 on target) compared to 7 (2 on target) for Carlisle. Doncaster made 3 substitutions, Carlisle made 3.

Rivalry since 2012

Doncaster vs Carlisle Head to Head Results

8 stretnutí
Doncaster
3
wins
Drawn
2
Carlisle
3
wins
Total goals
22 · 2.8/match
Both scored
4/8 · 50%
Over 2.5
6/8 · 75%

Recent Form

Doncaster

WDLWWL

Carlisle

LWWWDD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Doncaster2wins
2draws6 meetings
Carlisle2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

83%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (67%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (35%) — the odds may underestimate Doncaster.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 37.5%Draw 30.1%Away 37.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.623.252.60
Max2.763.402.71
Over 2.5: 48.8%Under 2.5: 57.1%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market35.1%29.1%35.8%
Public market36.1%27.9%36.1%
Δ0.9%1.2%0.3%

Doncaster vs Carlisle — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Doncaster
Result vs. Market: Carlisle (38%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

DoncasterHalf-time:10Carlisle
17Shots7
4Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
29/03/25Doncaster3–0Carlisle1.54/4.08/6.19
23/11/24Carlisle0–0Doncaster3.83/3.47/1.95
01/01/23Doncaster2–1Carlisle2.67/3.33/2.65
15/10/22Carlisle3–0Doncaster1.95/3.51/3.92
27/09/16Doncaster2–2Carlisle2.14/3.43/3.58
14/02/17Carlisle2–1Doncaster3.10/3.46/2.35

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Doncaster

W 86D 37L 61
Over 2.556
Goals scored277

Away Record: Carlisle

W 183D 139L 175
Over 2.549
Goals scored653

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026