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Harrogate Town vs Afc Wimbledon

EnviroVent Stadium, Harrogate, North Yorkshire3 October 2023 at 19:45

Match Events

Harrogate Town
AFC Wimbledon
Kick Off
6′
Omar Bugiel

assist: J. Tilley

Half Time
S. FolarinJ. March
55′
J. SiviJ. Daly
59′
59′
A. SasuJ. Neufville
G. ThomsonL. Armstrong
66′
76′
Omar BugielH. Pell
Liam Gibson79′
83′Armani Little
87′
J. TilleyJ. Ball
Rod McDonald88′
90+1′Harry Pell
Full Time

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal4
1Shots off Goal8
4Total Shots16
1Blocked Shots4
1Shots insidebox7
3Shots outsidebox9
10Fouls15
2Corner Kicks4
0Offsides1
54%Ball Possession46%
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves2
589Total passes505
459Passes accurate388
78%Passes %77%
0expected_goals0

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Harrogate Town is 6.86, compared to 6.73 for AFC Wimbledon. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Harrogate Town's highest-rated starter is A. O'Connor (7.23), while AFC Wimbledon's best-rated player is J. Tilley (7.11).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Harrogate Town have contributed 0 goals and 5 assists this season, led by —. AFC Wimbledon's starters account for 12 goals and 11 assists, spearheaded by Omar Bugiel (5G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Harrogate Town deploy 4 defenders rated 7.04 on average, against AFC Wimbledon's 4-man backline averaging 6.70. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Harrogate Town field 5 midfielders averaging 6.52, versus AFC Wimbledon's 4 rated 6.79. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Harrogate Town start 1 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for AFC Wimbledon averaging 6.63. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 64% for Harrogate Town and 66% for AFC Wimbledon. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Harrogate Town's starters have collected 10 yellow cards this season, compared to 32 for AFC Wimbledon. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Harrogate Town's starting XI is 32.8 (youngest: L. Gibson (28), oldest: M. Oxley (35)), while AFC Wimbledon average 26.9 (youngest: A. Sasu (20), oldest: J. Reeves (32)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Harrogate Town's starters average 14 league appearances each, versus 32 for AFC Wimbledon. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Harrogate Town4-2-3-14-4-2AFC Wimbledon
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Oxley20Ramsay15O'Connor16McDonald30Gibson4Falking.8Corneli.7Thomson10Daly19Sivi12Folarin12Bass33Ogundere31Lewis6Johnson26Currie7Tilley4Reeves14Little29Sasu10Hamadi18Bugiel

Substitutes

Coach: S. Weaver

Substitutes

Coach: J. Jackson

Harrogate TownPosition StrengthAFC Wimbledon
6.86
Avg Rating
6.73
7.19Goalkeeper (1 v 1)
0G 1A0G 0A
7.04Defender (4 v 4)6.70
0G 4A4G 2A
6.52Midfielder (5 v 4)6.79
0G 0A3G 5A
Forward (1 v 2)6.63
0G 0A5G 4A
Harrogate Town4-2-3-1
1GoalkeeperM. Oxley7.21A
20DefenderK. Ramsay
15DefenderA. O'Connor7.21A
16DefenderR. McDonald
30DefenderL. Gibson6.83A
4MidfielderJ. Falkingham6.5
8MidfielderD. Cornelius
7MidfielderG. Thomson6.6
10MidfielderM. Daly
19MidfielderJ. Sivi
12ForwardS. Folarin
AFC Wimbledon4-4-2
12GoalkeeperA. Bass
33DefenderI. Ogundere6.61A
31DefenderJ. Lewis6.71A
6DefenderR. Johnson6.94G
26DefenderJ. Currie
7MidfielderJ. Tilley7.12G2A
4MidfielderJ. Reeves6.71G3A
14MidfielderA. Little
29MidfielderA. Sasu6.5
10ForwardAli Al Hamadi
18ForwardOmar Bugiel6.65G4A

Match Summary

AFC Wimbledon defeated Harrogate Town 1:0. The match was played in League Two 2023. Goals were scored by Omar Bugiel 6′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Harrogate Town had 54% possession while AFC Wimbledon held 46%. Harrogate Town had 4 shots (2 on target) compared to 16 (4 on target) for AFC Wimbledon. Harrogate Town made 3 substitutions, AFC Wimbledon made 3.

Rivalry since 2022

Harrogate Town vs AFC Wimbledon Head to Head Results

5 stretnutí
Harrogate Town
0
wins
Drawn
2
AFC Wimbledon
3
wins
Total goals
15 · 3.0/match
Both scored
3/5 · 60%
Over 2.5
3/5 · 60%

Recent Form

Harrogate Town

LWWLLW

AFC Wimbledon

LWLLLL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

AFC Wimbledon dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Harrogate Town0wins
2draws6 meetings
AFC Wimbledon4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (27%) — the odds may underestimate AFC Wimbledon.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 29.3%Draw 29.2%Away 46.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.253.392.15
Max3.603.502.17
Over 2.5: 48.8%Under 2.5: 55.6%
Market favourite:AFC Wimbledon · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market26.9%28.5%44.6%
Public market28.1%27.3%44.5%
Δ1.3%1.2%

Harrogate Town vs AFC Wimbledon — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

AFC Wimbledon
Result vs. Market: AFC Wimbledon (46%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Harrogate TownHalf-time:01AFC Wimbledon
4Shots16
2Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
05/04/25AFC Wimbledon1–0Harrogate Town1.63/3.52/5.81
07/12/24Harrogate Town0–3AFC Wimbledon4.58/3.53/1.76
29/03/24AFC Wimbledon1–1Harrogate Town1.61/3.87/5.61
03/10/23Harrogate Town0–1AFC Wimbledon3.42/3.43/2.16
07/04/23Harrogate Town2–2AFC Wimbledon2.24/3.19/3.41
29/10/22AFC Wimbledon3–2Harrogate Town2.15/3.36/3.43

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Harrogate Town

W 83D 68L 125
Over 2.550
Goals scored317

Away Record: AFC Wimbledon

W 126D 104L 138
Over 2.544
Goals scored451

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026