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Tranmere vs Notts County

Prenton Park, Birkenhead, Merseyside1 January 2024 at 15:00
Referee: O. Yates

Match Events

Tranmere
Notts County
Kick Off
K. Morris

assist: C. Jennings

5′
24′
A. Nemane

assist: J. Jones

29′
M. Langstaff

assist: D. Crowley

C. Jennings

assist: L. O'Connor

44′
45+4′John Bostock
Half Time
H. Saunders
56′
66′
J. JonesJ. O'Brien
Connor Jennings72′
72′
J. BostockJ. Sanderson
H. SaundersC. Jolley
73′
R. ApterJ. Hawkes
90+6′
J. NorrisD. Pike
90+2′
C. Jennings

Penalty

90+3′
Full Time

Match Statistics

7Shots on Goal7
3Shots off Goal3
14Total Shots12
4Blocked Shots2
10Shots insidebox8
4Shots outsidebox4
10Fouls5
7Corner Kicks7
1Offsides2
33%Ball Possession67%
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
5Goalkeeper Saves3
323Total passes676
242Passes accurate619
75%Passes %92%
0expected_goals0

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Tranmere is 6.95, compared to 7.05 for Notts County. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Tranmere's highest-rated starter is L. McGee (7.22), while Notts County's best-rated player is J. Jones (7.05).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Tranmere have contributed 4 goals and 4 assists this season, led by C. Jennings (4G). Notts County's starters account for 8 goals and 4 assists, spearheaded by J. Jones (8G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Tranmere deploy 4 defenders rated 6.88 on average, against Notts County's 3-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Tranmere field 4 midfielders averaging —, versus Notts County's 4 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Tranmere start 2 forward(s) averaging 6.80, compared to 3 for Notts County averaging 7.05. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 66% for Tranmere and 71% for Notts County. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Tranmere's starters have collected 7 yellow cards this season, compared to 5 for Notts County. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Tranmere's starting XI is 29.6 (youngest: L. O'Connor (25), oldest: C. Jennings (34)), while Notts County average 28.0 (youngest: J. Jones (28), oldest: J. Jones (28)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Tranmere's starters average 15 league appearances each, versus 37 for Notts County. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Tranmere4-4-23-3-3-1Notts County
GKDEFMIDFWD
1McGee2O'Connor5Davies6Turnbull26Norris25Apter23McAlear8Hendry7Morris18Jennings19Saunders26Stone2Brindley15Baldwin4Cameron7Crowley16Bostock8Austin11Nemane17McGoldr.10Jones9Langsta.

Substitutes

Coach: N. Adkins

Substitutes

Coach: L. Williams

TranmerePosition StrengthNotts County
6.95
Avg Rating
7.05
7.22Goalkeeper (1 v 1)
0G 0A0G 0A
6.88Defender (4 v 3)
0G 1A0G 0A
6.80Forward (2 v 3)7.05
4G 3A8G 4A
Tranmere4-4-2
1GoalkeeperL. McGee7.2
2DefenderL. O'Connor6.8
5DefenderT. Davies
6DefenderJ. Turnbull6.91A
26DefenderJ. Norris
25MidfielderR. Apter
23MidfielderR. McAlear
8MidfielderR. Hendry
7MidfielderK. Morris
18ForwardC. Jennings6.84G3A
19ForwardH. Saunders
Notts County3-3-3-1
26GoalkeeperA. Stone
2DefenderR. Brindley
15DefenderA. Baldwin
4DefenderK. Cameron
7MidfielderD. Crowley
16MidfielderJ. Bostock
8MidfielderS. Austin
17MidfielderD. McGoldrick
11ForwardA. Nemane
10ForwardJ. Jones7.08G4A
9ForwardM. Langstaff

Match Summary

Tranmere defeated Notts County 4:2. The match was played in League Two 2023. Goals were scored by K. Morris 5′, A. Nemane 24′, M. Langstaff 29′, C. Jennings 44′, H. Saunders 56′, C. Jennings 90′ (pen.). 2 yellow cards were shown. Tranmere had 33% possession while Notts County held 67%. Tranmere had 14 shots (7 on target) compared to 12 (7 on target) for Notts County. Tranmere made 3 substitutions, Notts County made 2.

Rivalry since 2011

Tranmere vs Notts County Head to Head Results

13 stretnutí
Tranmere
3
wins
Drawn
3
Notts County
7
wins
Total goals
37 · 2.8/match
Both scored
8/13 · 62%
Over 2.5
7/13 · 54%

Recent Form

Tranmere

DLWLDL

Notts County

DWLLWL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Notts County dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Tranmere2wins
1draws8 meetings
Notts County5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.3

Average goals per game

75%

Games with 3+ goals

63%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (31%) — the odds may underestimate Tranmere.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 32.1%Draw 26.9%Away 46.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.003.602.10
Max3.203.942.17
Over 2.5: 61.7%Under 2.5: 44.4%
Market favourite:Notts County · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market30.8%24.6%44.6%
Public market29.6%26.3%44.1%
Δ1.2%1.8%0.5%

Tranmere vs Notts County — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Tranmere
Result vs. Market: Notts County (47%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

TranmereHalf-time:22Notts County
14Shots12
7Shots on target7

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
21/02/26Notts County5–0Tranmere1.66/3.75/4.75
30/08/25Tranmere1–2Notts County2.26/3.16/3.19
22/02/25Notts County2–1Tranmere1.58/4.12/5.36
10/08/24Tranmere0–0Notts County2.41/3.60/2.70
01/01/24Tranmere4–2Notts County3.11/3.71/2.14
26/08/23Notts County2–1Tranmere1.56/4.22/5.30
23/02/19Tranmere1–0Notts County2.15/3.33/3.57
15/12/18Notts County3–2Tranmere3.12/3.69/2.24

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Tranmere

W 124D 95L 149
Over 2.542
Goals scored427

Away Record: Notts County

W 211D 159L 228
Over 2.552
Goals scored789

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026