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Forest Green vs Wrexham

The Bolt New Lawn, Nailsworth, Gloucestershire27 February 2024 at 19:45
11
Referee: W. Finnie

Match Events

Forest Green
Wrexham
Kick Off
E. Osadebe

assist: C. Doidge

3′
Half Time
60′
A. HaydenJ. Davies
Álex GorrínD. Bernard
61′
63′
E. OConnellB. Tozer
K. McAllisterT. Omotoye
71′
72′
R. BarnettL. Bolton
72′
S. FletcherO. Palmer
73′
L. YoungJ. Marriott
Jamie Robson90+2′
90+3′
P. Mullin

Penalty

Full Time

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal5
1Shots off Goal9
6Total Shots19
3Blocked Shots5
2Shots insidebox11
4Shots outsidebox8
8Fouls7
3Corner Kicks6
2Offsides0
25%Ball Possession75%
1Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards0
5Goalkeeper Saves1
242Total passes688
140Passes accurate594
58%Passes %86%
0expected_goals0

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Forest Green is 6.15, compared to 6.86 for Wrexham. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Forest Green's highest-rated starter is H. Bunker (6.30), while Wrexham's best-rated player is E. Lee (7.30).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Forest Green have contributed 1 goals and 0 assists this season, led by K. McAllister (1G). Wrexham's starters account for 4 goals and 7 assists, spearheaded by M. Cleworth (3G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Forest Green deploy 3 defenders rated 6.30 on average, against Wrexham's 5-man backline averaging 6.73. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Forest Green field 4 midfielders averaging —, versus Wrexham's 3 rated 7.30. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Forest Green start 3 forward(s) averaging 6.00, compared to 2 for Wrexham averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 70% for Forest Green and 76% for Wrexham. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Forest Green's starters have collected 0 yellow cards this season, compared to 10 for Wrexham. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Forest Green's starting XI is 26.3 (youngest: H. Bunker (22), oldest: J. Moore-Taylor (31)), while Wrexham average 28.4 (youngest: M. Cleworth (23), oldest: J. McClean (36)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Forest Green's starters average 1 league appearances each, versus 19 for Wrexham. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Forest Green3-4-1-25-3-2Wrexham
GKDEFMIDFWD
39Reyes27Bunker36Keogh15Moore-T.16Thompson21Gorrín8McCann17Robson46Osadebe10Doidge7McAllis.33Okonkwo29Barnett5Hayden15O'Conne.32Cleworth23McClean20Cannon8Young38Lee10Mullin26Fletcher

Substitutes

Coach: D. Horseman

Substitutes

Coach: P. Parkinson

Forest GreenPosition StrengthWrexham
6.15
Avg Rating
6.86
Goalkeeper (1 v 1)6.92
0G 0A0G 0A
6.30Defender (3 v 5)6.73
0G 0A3G 6A
Midfielder (4 v 3)7.30
0G 0A1G 1A
6.00Forward (3 v 2)
1G 0A0G 0A
Forest Green3-4-1-2
39GoalkeeperV. Reyes
27DefenderH. Bunker6.3
36DefenderR. Keogh
15DefenderJ. Moore-Taylor
16MidfielderD. Thompson
21MidfielderÁlex Gorrín
8MidfielderC. McCann
17MidfielderJ. Robson
46ForwardE. Osadebe
10ForwardC. Doidge
7ForwardK. McAllister6.01G
Wrexham5-3-2
33GoalkeeperA. Okonkwo6.9
29DefenderR. Barnett6.7
5DefenderA. Hayden
15DefenderE. O'Connell6.6
32DefenderM. Cleworth6.93G4A
23DefenderJ. McClean6.82A
20MidfielderA. Cannon
8MidfielderL. Young
38MidfielderE. Lee7.31G1A
10ForwardP. Mullin
26ForwardS. Fletcher

Match Summary

Forest Green and Wrexham drew 1:1. The match was played in League Two 2023. Goals were scored by E. Osadebe 3′, P. Mullin 90′ (pen.). 1 yellow cards were shown. Forest Green had 25% possession while Wrexham held 75%. Forest Green had 6 shots (2 on target) compared to 19 (5 on target) for Wrexham. Forest Green made 2 substitutions, Wrexham made 5.

Rivalry since 2012

Forest Green vs Wrexham Head to Head Results

13 stretnutí
Forest Green
3
wins
Drawn
5
Wrexham
5
wins
Total goals
29 · 2.2/match
Both scored
5/13 · 38%
Over 2.5
6/13 · 46%

Recent Form

Forest Green

LWLWDW

Wrexham

DLWWLL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Forest Green0wins
1draws2 meetings
Wrexham1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

4

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (24%) — the odds may underestimate Wrexham.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 26.0%Draw 27.8%Away 51.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.703.501.85
Max4.033.702.00
Over 2.5: 57.1%Under 2.5: 48.8%
Market favourite:Wrexham · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market23.9%26.1%50.0%
Public market25.1%27.2%47.7%
Δ1.2%1.2%2.3%

Forest Green vs Wrexham — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Wrexham (52%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Forest GreenHalf-time:10Wrexham
6Shots19
2Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
13/04/24Wrexham6–0Forest Green1.37/5.03/7.94
27/02/24Forest Green1–1Wrexham3.84/3.60/1.93

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Forest Green

W 100D 69L 97
Over 2.546
Goals scored343

Away Record: Wrexham

W 64D 46L 74
Over 2.547
Goals scored231

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026