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Notts County vs Grimsby

Meadow Lane, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire22 August 2024 at 20:00
41
Referee: O. Yates

Match Events

Notts County
Grimsby
Kick Off
A. Jatta

assist: D. Crowley

6′
13′
J. DaviesC. Ainley
D. Crowley

assist: J. Jones

15′
S. RobertsonJ. Hinchy
25′
Jacob Bedeau29′
J. Jones

assist: A. Jatta

45+1′
45+4′
H. Rodgers

assist: L. Cass

Half Time
57′
L. BarringtonJ. Svanþórsson
D. Crowley

assist: J. Jones

57′
63′
D. WilsonD. Rose
63′
G. McEachranD. Hume
Alassana Jatta65′
67′Kieran Green
C. GrantM. Palmer
68′
A. JattaD. McGoldrick
68′
N. TsaroullaS. Austin
68′
C. EdwardsC. Scott
76′
Full Time

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal7
15Total Shots14
2Blocked Shots4
10Shots insidebox11
5Shots outsidebox3
11Fouls13
6Corner Kicks4
1Offsides1
58%Ball Possession42%
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves2
496Total passes352
422Passes accurate272
85%Passes %77%
0expected_goals0
0goals_prevented0

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Notts County is 6.89, compared to 6.98 for Grimsby. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Notts County's highest-rated starter is M. Platt (7.07), while Grimsby's best-rated player is C. McJannet (7.16).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Notts County have contributed 32 goals and 20 assists this season, led by A. Jatta (14G). Grimsby's starters account for 32 goals and 23 assists, spearheaded by K. Green (13G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Notts County deploy 3 defenders rated 6.89 on average, against Grimsby's 4-man backline averaging 6.99. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Notts County field 5 midfielders averaging 6.96, versus Grimsby's 5 rated 6.97. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Notts County start 2 forward(s) averaging 6.77, compared to 1 for Grimsby averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 79% for Notts County and 71% for Grimsby. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Notts County's starters have collected 49 yellow cards this season, compared to 28 for Grimsby. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Notts County's starting XI is 26.2 (youngest: L. Macari (23), oldest: C. Edwards (31)), while Grimsby average 26.7 (youngest: E. Khouri (22), oldest: H. Rodgers (29)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Notts County's starters average 30 league appearances each, versus 40 for Grimsby. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Notts County3-5-1-14-2-3-1Grimsby
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Bass28Macari5Platt4Bedeau10Jones22Edwards20Roberts.7Crowley25Tsaroul.11Grant29Jatta1Wright2Cass5Rodgers17McJannet30Khouri7Davies20McEachr.14Barring.4Green10Vernam25Wilson

Substitutes

Coach: S. Maynard

Substitutes

Coach: D. Artell

Notts CountyPosition StrengthGrimsby
6.89
Avg Rating
6.98
6.89Defender (3 v 4)6.99
1G 4A9G 6A
6.96Midfielder (5 v 5)6.97
14G 10A23G 17A
6.77Forward (2 v 1)
17G 6A0G 0A
Notts County3-5-1-1
1GoalkeeperA. Bass
28DefenderL. Macari6.82A
5DefenderM. Platt7.11G
4DefenderJ. Bedeau6.82A
10MidfielderJ. Jones7.08G4A
22MidfielderC. Edwards6.9
20MidfielderS. Robertson6.92G1A
7MidfielderD. Crowley
25MidfielderN. Tsaroulla6.94G5A
11ForwardC. Grant6.63G3A
29ForwardA. Jatta6.914G3A
Grimsby4-2-3-1
1GoalkeeperJ. Wright
2DefenderL. Cass
5DefenderH. Rodgers7.03G2A
17DefenderC. McJannet7.22G2A
30DefenderE. Khouri6.84G2A
7MidfielderJ. Davies
20MidfielderG. McEachran6.92A
14MidfielderL. Barrington
4MidfielderK. Green7.013G5A
10MidfielderC. Vernam7.010G10A
25ForwardD. Wilson

Match Summary

Notts County defeated Grimsby 4:1. The match was played in League Two 2024. Goals were scored by A. Jatta 6′, D. Crowley 15′, J. Jones 45′, H. Rodgers 45′, D. Crowley 57′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Notts County had 58% possession while Grimsby held 42%. Notts County had 15 shots (6 on target) compared to 14 (3 on target) for Grimsby. Notts County made 5 substitutions, Grimsby made 4.

Rivalry since 2016

Notts County vs Grimsby Head to Head Results

14 stretnutí
Notts County
5
wins
Drawn
3
Grimsby
6
wins
Total goals
43 · 3.1/match
Both scored
7/14 · 50%
Over 2.5
8/14 · 57%

Recent Form

Notts County

DWLLWL

Grimsby

DWWWLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Notts County5wins
2draws10 meetings
Grimsby3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.5

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Market Summary

Margin: 6.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 52.6%Draw 27.9%Away 25.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.883.403.82
Max1.913.764.00
Over 2.5: 58.8%Under 2.5: 47.6%
Market favourite:Notts County · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market50.2%25.1%24.7%
Public market49.0%27.5%23.4%
Δ1.2%2.4%1.3%

Notts County vs Grimsby — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Notts County
Result vs. Market: Notts County (53%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Notts CountyHalf-time:31Grimsby
15Shots14
6Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
28/02/26Notts County0–1Grimsby2.05/3.40/3.30
13/12/25Grimsby0–2Notts County1.91/3.70/3.60
11/03/25Grimsby0–2Notts County2.32/3.40/2.98
22/08/24Notts County4–1Grimsby1.90/3.59/3.91
13/01/24Grimsby5–5Notts County2.69/3.73/2.41
12/08/23Notts County3–2Grimsby1.73/3.92/4.36
27/04/19Notts County2–1Grimsby1.79/3.75/4.28
22/12/18Grimsby4–0Notts County2.20/3.53/3.31
28/04/18Grimsby2–1Notts County3.24/3.19/2.40
16/12/17Notts County0–0Grimsby1.93/3.54/4.23

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Notts County

W 211D 159L 228
Over 2.552
Goals scored789

Away Record: Grimsby

W 223D 181L 277
Over 2.548
Goals scored792

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026