League Two · Season 2024
Match Events
assist: R. Hutton
Match Statistics
Lineups
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Notts County is 6.90, compared to 6.79 for Gillingham. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Notts County's highest-rated starter is M. Platt (7.07), while Gillingham's best-rated player is A. Little (6.98).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Notts County have contributed 17 goals and 21 assists this season, led by J. Jones (8G). Gillingham's starters account for 15 goals and 13 assists, spearheaded by A. Little (5G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Notts County deploy 3 defenders rated 6.89 on average, against Gillingham's 4-man backline averaging 6.85. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Notts County field 4 midfielders averaging 7.01, versus Gillingham's 5 rated 6.82. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Notts County start 3 forward(s) averaging 6.61, compared to 1 for Gillingham averaging 6.41. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 78% for Notts County and 59% for Gillingham. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Notts County's starters have collected 39 yellow cards this season, compared to 31 for Gillingham. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Notts County's starting XI is 26.4 (youngest: L. Macari (23), oldest: M. Palmer (30)), while Gillingham average 28.3 (youngest: J. Gbode (20), oldest: G. Morris (42)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Notts County's starters average 36 league appearances each, versus 28 for Gillingham. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: S. Maynard
Substitutes
Coach: M. Bonner
Match Summary
Gillingham defeated Notts County 1:0. The match was played in League Two 2024. Goals were scored by E. Nevitt 38′. 7 yellow cards were shown. Notts County had 71% possession while Gillingham held 29%. Notts County had 12 shots (3 on target) compared to 9 (5 on target) for Gillingham. Notts County made 4 substitutions, Gillingham made 5.
Notts County vs Gillingham Head to Head Results
9 stretnutíRecent Meetings
Recent Form
Notts County
Gillingham
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.3
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
50%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (25%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (49%) — the odds may underestimate Gillingham.
Market Summary
Margin: 6.0%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.90 | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| Max | 2.00 | 3.75 | 3.71 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 49.4% | 25.3% | 25.3% |
| Public market | 49.0% | 25.0% | 26.0% |
Notts County vs Gillingham — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/02/2625/26 | Notts County | 1–0 | Gillingham | 1.86/3.25/4.00 |
| 13/09/2525/26 | Gillingham | 1–0 | Notts County | 2.32/3.17/3.08 |
| 01/02/2524/25 | Gillingham | 1–2 | Notts County | 3.33/3.43/2.14 |
| 21/09/2424/25 | Notts County | 0–1 | Gillingham | 1.94/3.69/3.67 |
| 09/02/2423/24 | Notts County | 1–3 | Gillingham | 2.17/3.69/3.08 |
| 21/10/2323/24 | Gillingham | 1–2 | Notts County | 2.58/3.64/2.57 |
| 21/10/0808/09 | Gillingham | 2–2 | Notts County | 1.97/3.30/3.51 |
| 17/03/0908/09 | Notts County | 0–1 | Gillingham | 2.62/3.28/2.58 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Notts County
Away Record: Gillingham
Data: football-data.co.uk
API data: 11 May 2026