Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Marseille dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3
Average goals per game
80%
Games with 3+ goals
60%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (65%) — the odds may underestimate Marseille.
Market Summary
Margin: 4.7%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.44 | 3.60 | 7.50 |
| Max | 1.53 | 4.27 | 8.50 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 65.0% | 22.8% | 12.2% |
| Public market | 66.1% | 22.7% | 11.2% |
| Δ | 1.1% | 0.2% | 1.0% |
Marseille vs Bastia — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/12/1616/17 | Bastia | 1–2 | Marseille | 3.25/3.12/2.40 |
| 20/05/1716/17 | Marseille | 1–0 | Bastia | 1.32/5.46/9.84 |
| 13/09/1515/16 | Marseille | 4–1 | Bastia | 1.49/4.02/8.00 |
| 03/04/1615/16 | Bastia | 2–1 | Marseille | 3.17/3.12/2.44 |
| 09/08/1414/15 | Bastia | 3–3 | Marseille | 3.79/3.25/2.09 |
| 23/05/1514/15 | Marseille | 3–0 | Bastia | 1.23/6.38/13.27 |
| 21/09/1313/14 | Bastia | 0–0 | Marseille | 3.31/3.17/2.33 |
| 08/02/1413/14 | Marseille | 3–0 | Bastia | 1.60/3.66/6.60 |
| 12/12/1212/13 | Bastia | 1–2 | Marseille | 3.35/3.24/2.27 |
| 04/05/1312/13 | Marseille | 2–1 | Bastia | 1.55/4.00/6.40 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Marseille
Away Record: Bastia
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Marseille defeated Bastia 4:1. The match was played in Ligue 1 2015. Goals were scored by B. Mendy 15′, R. Alessandrini 46′, R. Alessandrini 66′, M. Batshuayi 70′, Brandão 78′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Marseille had 58% possession while Bastia held 42%. Marseille had 12 shots (7 on target) compared to 6 (2 on target) for Bastia. Marseille made 3 substitutions, Bastia made 1.
Match Events
Key match events between Marseille and Bastia — 5 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.
assist: L. Diarra
assist: M. Batshuayi
assist: B. Mendy
assist: J. Palmieri
Match Statistics
Marseille had 58% possession against Bastia's 42%. Marseille registered 12 shots (7 on target) while Bastia managed 6 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 5–0. Fouls committed: 0–0.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Marseille have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats. Bastia show 1 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.
Marseille
Bastia
Marseille vs Bastia Head to Head Results
Marseille and Bastia have met 9 times — Marseille won 6, Bastia won 1, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. Marseille leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 9 meetings. A combined 25 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.78 per match (17 for the home side, 8 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (56%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (78%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2014.
6
Marseille
2
Drawn
1
Bastia
Recent Meetings (9)
API data: 15 Mar 2026