7 October 2018 at 15:00

20
Full Time
Referee: B. Millot

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Marseille dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Marseille8wins
0draws10 meetings
Caen2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (72%) — the odds may underestimate Caen.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 75.0%Draw 18.7%Away 11.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.335.258.50
Max1.345.539.55
Market favourite:Marseille · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market72.3%17.5%10.1%
Public market71.4%18.1%10.5%

Marseille vs Caen — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Marseille
Result vs. Market: Marseille (75%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MarseilleHalf-time:20Caen
17Shots7
6Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
20/01/19Caen0–1Marseille4.35/3.61/1.85
07/10/18Marseille2–0Caen1.33/5.34/9.02
05/11/17Marseille5–0Caen1.51/4.14/7.22
19/01/18Caen0–2Marseille4.72/3.59/1.79
20/11/16Marseille1–0Caen1.74/3.66/5.04
30/04/17Caen1–5Marseille3.67/3.48/2.07
08/08/15Marseille0–1Caen1.57/4.12/6.03
17/01/16Caen1–3Marseille2.91/3.25/2.54
04/10/14Caen1–2Marseille3.87/3.29/2.04
27/02/15Marseille2–3Caen1.45/4.48/7.60

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Marseille

W 526D 304L 301
Over 2.547
Goals scored1674

Away Record: Caen

W 135D 133L 226
Over 2.543
Goals scored498

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Marseille defeated Caen 2:0. The match was played in Ligue 1 2018. Goals were scored by K. Mitroglou 36′, F. Thauvin 45′. 8 yellow cards were shown. Marseille had 60% possession while Caen held 40%. Marseille had 17 shots (6 on target) compared to 7 (2 on target) for Caen. Marseille made 3 substitutions, Caen made 3.

Match Events

Key match events between Marseille and Caen — 2 goals and 8 cards recorded during the match.

Marseille
Caen
Kick Off
K. Mitroglou

assist: F. Thauvin

36′
F. Thauvin

assist: D. Payet

45′
Half Time
62′
C. NingaY. Bammou
62′
E. CrivelliM. Tchokounté
66′Paul Baysse
K. MitroglouV. Germain
67′
D. PayetM. Lopez
78′
80′
S. PeetersJ. Deminguet
F. ThauvinN. Radonjić
90′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Marseille had 60% possession against Caen's 40%. Marseille registered 17 shots (6 on target) while Caen managed 7 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 4–2. Fouls committed: 14–14.

6Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal3
17Total Shots7
6Blocked Shots2
11Shots insidebox4
6Shots outsidebox3
14Fouls14
4Corner Kicks2
1Offsides0
60%Ball Possession40%
3Yellow Cards5
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves4
497Total passes323
416Passes accurate244
84%Passes %76%

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Marseille have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats. Caen show 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.

Marseille

LWLLWW

Caen

WWDDDL

Marseille vs Caen Head to Head Results

Marseille and Caen have met 14 times — Marseille won 9, Caen won 3, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Marseille leads the head-to-head with 9 victories from 14 meetings. A combined 43 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.07 per match (30 for the home side, 13 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 8 matches (57%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 games (64%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Marseille are currently unbeaten in the last 6 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–5 in 2017.

9

Marseille

2

Drawn

3

Caen

Goals: 30Goals: 13

Recent Meetings (14)

20 Jan 2019Caen0 – 1Marseille
19 Jan 2018Caen0 – 2Marseille
5 Nov 2017Marseille5 – 0Caen
30 Apr 2017Caen1 – 5Marseille
20 Nov 2016Marseille1 – 0Caen
17 Jan 2016Caen1 – 3Marseille
8 Aug 2015Marseille0 – 1Caen
27 Feb 2015Marseille2 – 3Caen
4 Oct 2014Caen1 – 2Marseille
18 Apr 2012Marseille1 – 1Caen
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 15 Mar 2026