Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.1
Average goals per game
38%
Games with 3+ goals
38%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (70%) — the odds may underestimate Ajaccio.
Market Summary
Margin: 4.8%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.33 | 4.69 | 9.50 |
| Max | 1.39 | 4.75 | 10.86 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 70.2% | 20.8% | 9.0% |
| Public market | 70.8% | 19.8% | 9.4% |
Marseille vs Ajaccio — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/2322/23 | Ajaccio | 1–0 | Marseille | 8.14/5.10/1.33 |
| 08/10/2222/23 | Marseille | 1–2 | Ajaccio | 1.36/4.73/10.12 |
| 22/11/1313/14 | Ajaccio | 1–3 | Marseille | 4.35/3.39/1.91 |
| 04/04/1413/14 | Marseille | 3–1 | Ajaccio | 1.34/4.96/9.65 |
| 04/11/1212/13 | Ajaccio | 0–2 | Marseille | 3.61/3.21/2.17 |
| 15/03/1312/13 | Marseille | 0–0 | Ajaccio | 1.45/4.13/8.19 |
| 22/10/1111/12 | Marseille | 2–0 | Ajaccio | 1.29/5.03/10.58 |
| 09/03/1211/12 | Ajaccio | 1–0 | Marseille | 4.01/3.23/1.98 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Marseille
Away Record: Ajaccio
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Ajaccio defeated Marseille 2:1. The match was played in Ligue 1 2022. Goals were scored by D. Payet 15′ (pen.), B. Moussiti-Oko 25′, L. Balerdi 47′ (o.g.). 2 yellow cards were shown. Marseille had 65% possession while Ajaccio held 35%. Marseille had 10 shots (2 on target) compared to 6 (1 on target) for Ajaccio. Marseille made 5 substitutions, Ajaccio made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Marseille and Ajaccio — 3 goals and 2 cards recorded during the match.
Penalty
assist: V. Marchetti
Own Goal
Match Statistics
Marseille had 65% possession against Ajaccio's 35%. Marseille registered 10 shots (2 on target) while Ajaccio managed 6 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 11–2. Fouls committed: 17–18.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Marseille have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats. Ajaccio show 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from their last 0 outings.
Marseille
Ajaccio
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Marseille vs Ajaccio Head to Head Results
Marseille and Ajaccio have met 7 times — Marseille won 4, Ajaccio won 2, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Marseille leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 7 meetings. A combined 14 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.00 per match (10 for the home side, 4 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (29%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (29%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–1 in 2014.
4
Marseille
1
Drawn
2
Ajaccio
Recent Meetings (7)
API data: 15 Mar 2026