12 November 2023 at 19:45

10
Full Time
Referee: B. Bastien

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Lens dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Lens6wins
0draws10 meetings
Marseille4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (43%) — the odds may underestimate Lens.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 44.6%Draw 28.7%Away 31.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.203.403.00
Max2.273.543.22
Over 2.5: 52.9%Under 2.5: 49.8%
Market favourite:Lens · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market42.6%27.3%30.0%
Public market42.3%28.0%29.7%

Lens vs Marseille — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Lens
Result vs. Market: Lens (45%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

LensHalf-time:00Marseille
14Shots8
3Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
24/01/26Marseille3–1Lens2.00/3.75/3.40
25/10/25Lens2–1Marseille2.76/3.60/2.47
08/03/25Marseille0–1Lens1.53/4.38/5.80
23/11/24Lens1–3Marseille2.31/3.44/3.06
28/04/24Marseille2–1Lens2.45/3.47/2.82
12/11/23Lens1–0Marseille2.24/3.48/3.14
06/05/23Lens2–1Marseille2.33/3.50/3.01
22/10/22Marseille0–1Lens2.17/3.46/3.38
22/01/22Lens0–2Marseille2.53/3.51/2.73
26/09/21Marseille2–3Lens1.75/3.76/4.75

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Lens

W 343D 256L 275
Over 2.543
Goals scored1110

Away Record: Marseille

W 526D 304L 301
Over 2.547
Goals scored1674

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Lens defeated Marseille 1:0. The match was played in Ligue 1 2023. Goals were scored by J. Gradit 90′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Lens had 47% possession while Marseille held 53%. Lens had 14 shots (3 on target) compared to 8 (2 on target) for Marseille. Expected goals: Lens 1.08 — Marseille 1.13. Lens made 5 substitutions, Marseille made 3.

Match Events

Key match events between Lens and Marseille — 1 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.

Lens
Marseille
Kick Off
45+2′Vitinha
Half Time
56′
J. CorreaI. Ndiaye
F. SotocaA. Fulgini
60′
A. ThomassonM. Guilavogui
60′
70′
VítinhaP. Aubameyang
E. WahiW. Saïd
71′
M. HaïdaraD. Machado
71′
N. El AynaouiDavid Pereira da Costa
86′
86′
I. SarrA. Murillo
J. Gradit

assist: A. Fulgini

90′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Lens had 47% possession against Marseille's 53%. Lens registered 14 shots (3 on target) while Marseille managed 8 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 4–5. Fouls committed: 19–15.

3Shots on Goal2
7Shots off Goal4
14Total Shots8
4Blocked Shots2
10Shots insidebox5
4Shots outsidebox3
19Fouls15
4Corner Kicks5
0Offsides1
47%Ball Possession53%
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves1
388Total passes447
322Passes accurate365
83%Passes %82%
1.08expected_goals1.13

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Lens have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats. Marseille show 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Lens

WWLWLW

Marseille

LWLLWW

Lens vs Marseille Head to Head Results

Lens and Marseille have met 16 times — Lens won 6, Marseille won 8, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Marseille leads the head-to-head with 8 victories from 16 meetings. A combined 45 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.81 per match (17 for the home side, 28 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 9 matches (56%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 games (63%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–3 in 2021.

6

Lens

2

Drawn

8

Marseille

Goals: 17Goals: 28

Recent Meetings (16)

24 Jan 2026Marseille3 – 1Lens
25 Oct 2025Lens2 – 1Marseille
8 Mar 2025Marseille0 – 1Lens
23 Nov 2024Lens1 – 3Marseille
28 Apr 2024Marseille2 – 1Lens
6 May 2023Lens2 – 1Marseille
22 Oct 2022Marseille0 – 1Lens
22 Jan 2022Lens0 – 2Marseille
26 Sept 2021Marseille2 – 3Lens
3 Feb 2021Lens2 – 2Marseille
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 15 Mar 2026