Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.2
Average goals per game
30%
Games with 3+ goals
50%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (63%) — the odds may underestimate Toulouse.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.5%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.44 | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| Max | 1.52 | 4.20 | 7.50 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 63.3% | 23.0% | 13.7% |
| Public market | 63.5% | 23.8% | 12.7% |
| Δ | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% |
Nice vs Toulouse — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/2625/26 | Toulouse | 5–1 | Nice | 1.95/3.50/3.90 |
| 16/08/2525/26 | Nice | 0–1 | Toulouse | 2.11/3.38/3.65 |
| 02/02/2524/25 | Toulouse | 1–1 | Nice | 2.52/3.32/2.80 |
| 25/08/2424/25 | Nice | 1–1 | Toulouse | 1.86/3.51/4.42 |
| 03/03/2423/24 | Toulouse | 2–1 | Nice | 3.40/3.21/2.26 |
| 26/11/2323/24 | Nice | 1–0 | Toulouse | 1.49/4.13/7.17 |
| 21/05/2322/23 | Nice | 0–0 | Toulouse | 1.88/3.80/3.91 |
| 07/08/2222/23 | Toulouse | 1–1 | Nice | 2.87/3.38/2.51 |
| 15/02/2019/20 | Toulouse | 0–2 | Nice | 2.49/3.44/2.81 |
| 21/12/1919/20 | Nice | 3–0 | Toulouse | 1.69/3.95/4.98 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Nice
Away Record: Toulouse
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Nice defeated Toulouse 1:0. The match was played in Ligue 1 2023. Goals were scored by T. Moffi 54′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Nice had 53% possession while Toulouse held 47%. Nice had 8 shots (3 on target) compared to 19 (3 on target) for Toulouse. Expected goals: Nice 0.95 — Toulouse 1.32. Nice made 5 substitutions, Toulouse made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Nice and Toulouse — 1 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.
assist: M. Sanson
Match Statistics
Nice had 53% possession against Toulouse's 47%. Nice registered 8 shots (3 on target) while Toulouse managed 19 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 4–2. Fouls committed: 9–19.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Nice have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Toulouse show 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.
Nice
Toulouse
Nice vs Toulouse Head to Head Results
Nice and Toulouse have met 30 times — Nice won 11, Toulouse won 9, with 10 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Nice leads the head-to-head with 11 victories from 30 meetings. A combined 73 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.43 per match (37 for the home side, 36 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 16 matches (53%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 games (33%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Toulouse are currently unbeaten in the last 7 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–4 in 2013.
11
Nice
10
Drawn
9
Toulouse
Recent Meetings (30)
API data: 15 Mar 2026