4 January 2026 at 14:00
Ligue 1 · France · Season 2025Match Events
Key match events between Marseille and Nantes — 2 goals and 7 cards recorded during the match.
Penalty
Match Statistics
Marseille had 56% possession against Nantes's 44%. Marseille registered 11 shots (4 on target) while Nantes managed 15 (9 on target). Corner kicks: 6–3. Fouls committed: 17–20.
Match Summary
Nantes defeated Marseille 2:0. The match was played in Ligue 1 2025. Goals were scored by F. Centonze 31′, R. Cabella 88′ (pen.). 5 yellow cards were shown, 2 red cards. Marseille had 56% possession while Nantes held 44%. Marseille had 11 shots (4 on target) compared to 15 (9 on target) for Nantes. Expected goals: Marseille 0.75 — Nantes 3.63. Marseille made 5 substitutions, Nantes made 5. VAR was involved: Goal cancelled (Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley 10′).
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Marseille have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats. Nantes show 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.
Marseille
Nantes
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Marseille dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.6
Average goals per game
40%
Games with 3+ goals
50%
Both teams scored
Market Summary
Margin: 5.2%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.22 | 6.50 | 11.54 |
| Max | 1.23 | 6.80 | 12.00 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 77.7% | 14.0% | 8.3% |
| Public market | 77.6% | 14.6% | 7.9% |
Marseille vs Nantes — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/01/2625/26 | Marseille | 0–2 | Nantes | 1.23/6.65/11.77 |
| 02/03/2524/25 | Marseille | 2–0 | Nantes | 1.39/5.02/7.22 |
| 03/11/2424/25 | Nantes | 1–2 | Marseille | 3.75/3.47/2.04 |
| 10/03/2423/24 | Marseille | 2–0 | Nantes | 1.50/4.36/6.84 |
| 01/09/2323/24 | Nantes | 1–1 | Marseille | 4.59/3.77/1.72 |
| 01/02/2322/23 | Nantes | 0–2 | Marseille | 4.57/3.76/1.78 |
| 20/08/2222/23 | Marseille | 2–1 | Nantes | 1.60/4.16/5.58 |
| 20/04/2221/22 | Marseille | 3–2 | Nantes | 1.63/3.97/5.58 |
| 01/12/2121/22 | Nantes | 0–1 | Marseille | 3.21/3.37/2.28 |
| 28/11/2020/21 | Marseille | 3–1 | Nantes | 2.11/3.35/3.62 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Marseille
Away Record: Nantes
Data: football-data.co.uk
API data: 15 Mar 2026