7 March 2026 at 20:05
Ligue 1 · France · Season 2025Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Marseille dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.3
Average goals per game
60%
Games with 3+ goals
60%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (33%) — the odds may underestimate Marseille.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.6%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.35 |
| Max | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.35 |
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/2625/26 | Toulouse | 0–1 | Marseille | 2.90/3.50/2.35 |
| 29/11/2525/26 | Marseille | 2–2 | Toulouse | 1.61/4.04/5.75 |
| 06/04/2524/25 | Marseille | 3–2 | Toulouse | 1.76/3.85/4.58 |
| 31/08/2424/25 | Toulouse | 1–3 | Marseille | 3.93/3.71/1.91 |
| 21/04/2423/24 | Toulouse | 2–2 | Marseille | 2.78/3.32/2.56 |
| 17/09/2323/24 | Marseille | 0–0 | Toulouse | 1.45/4.65/6.04 |
| 19/02/2322/23 | Toulouse | 2–3 | Marseille | 3.77/3.78/1.94 |
| 29/12/2222/23 | Marseille | 6–1 | Toulouse | 1.51/4.45/6.23 |
| 08/02/2019/20 | Marseille | 1–0 | Toulouse | 1.32/5.22/10.27 |
| 24/11/1919/20 | Toulouse | 0–2 | Marseille | 3.22/3.45/2.22 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Toulouse
Away Record: Marseille
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Marseille defeated Toulouse 1:0. The match was played in Ligue 1 2025. Goals were scored by M. Greenwood 18′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Toulouse had 49% possession while Marseille held 51%. Toulouse had 12 shots (2 on target) compared to 10 (3 on target) for Marseille. Expected goals: Toulouse 0.91 — Marseille 1.13. Toulouse made 5 substitutions, Marseille made 4.
Match Events
Key match events between Toulouse and Marseille — 1 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.
assist: I. Paixao
Match Statistics
Toulouse had 49% possession against Marseille's 51%. Toulouse registered 12 shots (2 on target) while Marseille managed 10 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 4–2. Fouls committed: 15–14.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Toulouse have recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats. Marseille show 2 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.
Toulouse
Marseille
Toulouse vs Marseille Head to Head Results
Toulouse and Marseille have met 2 times — Toulouse won 0, Marseille won 0, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. A combined 8 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 4.00 per match (4 for the home side, 4 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (100%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (100%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–2 in 2026.
0
Toulouse
2
Drawn
0
Marseille
Recent Meetings (2)
API data: 15 Mar 2026