22 March 2026 at 16:15
Ligue 1 · France · Season 2025Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.2
Average goals per game
40%
Games with 3+ goals
70%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (50%) — the odds may underestimate Lille.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.3%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.91 | 3.75 | 3.80 |
| Max | 1.91 | 3.75 | 3.80 |
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/2625/26 | Marseille | 1–2 | Lille | 1.91/3.75/3.80 |
| 05/12/2525/26 | Lille | 1–0 | Marseille | 2.34/3.59/2.96 |
| 04/05/2524/25 | Lille | 1–1 | Marseille | 2.36/3.34/3.12 |
| 14/12/2424/25 | Marseille | 1–1 | Lille | 2.18/3.47/3.32 |
| 05/04/2423/24 | Lille | 3–1 | Marseille | 2.04/3.41/3.75 |
| 04/11/2323/24 | Marseille | 0–0 | Lille | 2.20/3.56/3.14 |
| 20/05/2322/23 | Lille | 2–1 | Marseille | 2.43/3.64/2.76 |
| 10/09/2222/23 | Marseille | 2–1 | Lille | 1.98/3.62/3.83 |
| 16/01/2221/22 | Marseille | 1–1 | Lille | 2.32/3.37/3.13 |
| 03/10/2121/22 | Lille | 2–0 | Marseille | 2.47/3.28/2.98 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Marseille
Away Record: Lille
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Lille defeated Marseille 2:1. The match was played in Ligue 1 2025. Goals were scored by E. Nwaneri 43′, T. Meunier 49′, O. Giroud 86′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Marseille had 55% possession while Lille held 45%. Marseille had 14 shots (3 on target) compared to 11 (4 on target) for Lille. Expected goals: Marseille 0.60 — Lille 0.97. Marseille made 4 substitutions, Lille made 4.
Match Events
Key match events between Marseille and Lille — 3 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.
assist: I. Paixao
assist: T. Meunier
Match Statistics
Marseille had 55% possession against Lille's 45%. Marseille registered 14 shots (3 on target) while Lille managed 11 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 6–4. Fouls committed: 8–6.
Lineups
Marseille lined up in a 4-2-3-1 formation under Habib Beye, while Lille deployed a 4-2-3-1 under Bruno Genesio.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Marseille is 6.96, compared to 6.93 for Lille. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Marseille's highest-rated starter is Mason Greenwood (7.37), while Lille's best-rated player is Berke Özer (7.28).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Marseille have contributed 35 goals and 27 assists this season, led by Mason Greenwood (15G). Lille's starters account for 26 goals and 20 assists, spearheaded by Matías Fernández (8G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Marseille deploy 4 defenders rated 6.82 on average, against Lille's 4-man backline averaging 6.92. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Marseille field 5 midfielders averaging 7.04, versus Lille's 5 rated 6.84. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Marseille start 1 forward(s) averaging 6.96, compared to 1 for Lille averaging 7.07. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 86% for Marseille and 84% for Lille. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Marseille's starters have collected 39 yellow cards this season, compared to 48 for Lille. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Marseille's starting XI is 28.4 (youngest: Mason Greenwood (24), oldest: Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (36)), while Lille average 25.4 (youngest: Ayyoub Bouaddi (18), oldest: Thomas Meunier (34)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Marseille's starters average 23 league appearances each, versus 26 for Lille. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: Habib Beye
Substitutes
Coach: Bruno Genesio
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Marseille have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats. Lille show 4 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.
Marseille
Lille
Marseille vs Lille Head to Head Results
Marseille and Lille have met 1 times — Marseille won 0, Lille won 1, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. Lille leads the head-to-head with 1 victories from 1 meetings. A combined 1 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.00 per match (0 for the home side, 1 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 0 matches (0%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 games (0%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–0 in 2025.
0
Marseille
0
Drawn
1
Lille
Recent Meetings (1)
API data: 22 Mar 2026