26 April 2026 at 18:45

11
Full Time
Referee: Willy Delajod
Stadium: Orange Vélodrome, Marseille

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Marseille4wins
3draws10 meetings
Nice3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.9

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (64%) — the odds may underestimate Nice.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 67.6%Draw 22.2%Away 15.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.484.506.50
Max1.484.506.50
Over 2.5: 69.4%Under 2.5: 36.4%
Market favourite:Marseille · Heavy favourite

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Marseille (68%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MarseilleHalf-time:00Nice
24Shots5
6Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
26/04/26Marseille1–1Nice1.48/4.50/6.50
21/11/25Nice1–5Marseille3.86/3.73/1.94
26/01/25Nice2–0Marseille2.84/3.50/2.42
14/09/24Marseille2–0Nice1.73/3.89/4.50
24/04/24Marseille2–2Nice2.22/3.45/3.25
21/10/23Nice1–0Marseille2.45/3.27/3.01
05/02/23Marseille1–3Nice1.71/3.87/5.01
28/08/22Nice0–3Marseille2.75/3.48/2.54
20/03/22Marseille2–1Nice2.17/3.34/3.50
27/10/21Nice1–1Marseille2.42/3.46/2.88

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Marseille

W 526D 304L 301
Over 2.547
Goals scored1674

Away Record: Nice

W 358D 292L 349
Over 2.542
Goals scored1149

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Marseille and Nice drew 1:1. The match was played in Ligue 1 2025. Goals were scored by P. Hojbjerg 66′, E. Wahi 88′ (pen.). 5 yellow cards were shown. Marseille had 68% possession while Nice held 32%. Marseille had 24 shots (6 on target) compared to 5 (2 on target) for Nice. Expected goals: Marseille 2.32 — Nice 1.46. Marseille made 4 substitutions, Nice made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Marseille and Nice — 2 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.

Marseille
Nice
Kick Off
Emerson29′
Half Time
46′
M. SansonS. Diop
EmersonT. Mmadi
62′
A. VermeerenM. Greenwood
63′
P. Hojbjerg

assist: T. Nnadi

66′
67′
M. ChoK. Boudache
T. NnadiN. Kamissoko
80′
Q. TimberH. Abdelli
81′
81′
M. BardA. Abdi
81′
S. Abdul SamedKevin
88′
E. Wahi

Penalty

90+1′
E. WahiC. Vanhoutte
Full Time

Match Statistics

Marseille had 68% possession against Nice's 32%. Marseille registered 24 shots (6 on target) while Nice managed 5 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 7–1. Fouls committed: 14–7.

6Shots on Goal2
12Shots off Goal2
24Total Shots5
6Blocked Shots1
18Shots insidebox4
6Shots outsidebox1
14Fouls7
7Corner Kicks1
0Offsides2
68%Ball Possession32%
4Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves5
655Total passes302
573Passes accurate220
87%Passes %73%
2.32expected_goals1.46
0goals_prevented0

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Marseille have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats. Nice show 1 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Marseille

DLWLLW

Nice

DWDDLL

Marseille vs Nice Head to Head Results

Marseille and Nice have met 1 times — Marseille won 1, Nice won 0, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. Marseille leads the head-to-head with 1 victories from 1 meetings. A combined 6 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 6.00 per match (5 for the home side, 1 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 matches (100%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 games (100%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–5 in 2025.

1

Marseille

0

Drawn

0

Nice

Goals: 5Goals: 1

Recent Meetings (1)

21 Nov 2025Nice1 – 5Marseille
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 27 Apr 2026