Ligue 1 · Season 2015
Match Events
assist: S. Squillaci
assist: F. Ayité
Match Statistics
Match Summary
Bastia defeated Guingamp 3:0. The match was played in Ligue 1 2015. Goals were scored by J. Palmieri 5′, J. Palmieri 39′, L. Coulibaly 90′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Bastia had 44% possession while Guingamp held 56%. Bastia had 10 shots (5 on target) compared to 15 (4 on target) for Guingamp. Bastia made 3 substitutions, Guingamp made 3.
Bastia vs Guingamp Head to Head Results
19 stretnutíRecent Meetings
Recent Form
Bastia
Guingamp
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
1.9
Average goals per game
30%
Games with 3+ goals
20%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (40%) — the odds may underestimate Bastia.
Market Summary
Margin: 4.8%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.30 | 2.90 | 3.40 |
| Max | 2.44 | 3.05 | 3.48 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 40.0% | 32.0% | 28.0% |
| Public market | 40.9% | 31.4% | 27.7% |
Bastia vs Guingamp — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09/1616/17 | Bastia | 1–0 | Guingamp | 2.49/3.04/3.22 |
| 11/03/1716/17 | Guingamp | 5–0 | Bastia | 1.76/3.49/5.31 |
| 22/08/1515/16 | Bastia | 3–0 | Guingamp | 2.38/2.98/3.43 |
| 23/01/1615/16 | Guingamp | 1–0 | Bastia | 1.86/3.23/5.09 |
| 01/11/1414/15 | Guingamp | 1–0 | Bastia | 2.08/3.16/3.93 |
| 21/03/1514/15 | Bastia | 0–0 | Guingamp | 2.90/3.12/2.62 |
| 14/09/1313/14 | Guingamp | 1–1 | Bastia | 2.07/3.33/3.77 |
| 01/02/1413/14 | Bastia | 3–2 | Guingamp | 2.20/3.14/3.62 |
| 29/11/9797/98 | Guingamp | 0–0 | Bastia | — |
| 09/08/9797/98 | Bastia | 1–0 | Guingamp | — |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Bastia
Away Record: Guingamp
Data: football-data.co.uk
API data: 11 May 2026