20 March 2026 at 19:00

11
Full Time
Referee: Karim Abed

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Rodez4wins
4draws10 meetings
Bastia2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.2

Average goals per game

20%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (36%) — the odds may underestimate Bastia.

Market Summary

Margin: 11.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 40.0%Draw 33.3%Away 38.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.503.002.63
Max2.503.002.63
Over 2.5: 46.5%Under 2.5: 59.9%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Rodez (40%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

RodezHalf-time:11Bastia
12Shots13
3Shots on target6

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
20/03/26Rodez1–1Bastia2.50/3.00/2.63
23/09/25Bastia2–3Rodez1.89/3.55/3.88
07/02/25Rodez0–2Bastia2.50/3.24/2.87
29/10/24Bastia2–2Rodez2.02/3.24/3.83
17/02/24Bastia0–2Rodez2.39/3.13/3.03
21/10/23Rodez1–1Bastia1.89/3.51/4.03
25/02/23Rodez0–2Bastia2.61/2.96/2.93
27/08/22Bastia0–2Rodez1.97/3.01/4.41
07/05/22Bastia0–1Rodez2.30/3.16/3.16
21/12/21Rodez0–0Bastia2.38/2.86/3.30

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Rodez

W 74D 89L 81
Over 2.543
Goals scored296

Away Record: Bastia

W 143D 117L 145
Over 2.538
Goals scored479

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Rodez and Bastia drew 1:1. The match was played in Ligue 2 2025. Goals were scored by T. Arconte 24′ (pen.), J. Eickmayer 40′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Rodez had 48% possession while Bastia held 52%. Rodez had 10 shots (3 on target) compared to 13 (6 on target) for Bastia. Rodez made 5 substitutions, Bastia made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Rodez and Bastia — 2 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.

Rodez
Bastia
Kick Off
T. Arconte

Penalty

24′
40′
J. Eickmayer

assist: A. Zaouai

Half Time
59′
A. ZaouaiM. Merghem
59′
J. SebasA. Boutrah
S. BenchammaM. Saka
68′
O. JolyW. Younoussa
68′
K. NageraI. Balde
77′
77′
A. RoncagliaT. Ducrocq
77′
F. TomiR. Beliandjou
85′
J. EickmayerC. Vincent
J. MendesA. Trouillet
88′
T. ArconteM. Baaloudj
88′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Rodez had 48% possession against Bastia's 52%. Rodez registered 10 shots (3 on target) while Bastia managed 13 (6 on target). Corner kicks: 9–2. Fouls committed: 9–10.

3Shots on Goal6
3Shots off Goal2
10Total Shots13
4Blocked Shots5
8Shots insidebox4
2Shots outsidebox9
9Fouls10
9Corner Kicks2
5Offsides1
48%Ball Possession52%
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
5Goalkeeper Saves3
300Total passes336
221Passes accurate251
74%Passes %75%
0expected_goals0
0goals_prevented0

Lineups

Rodez lined up in a 5-3-2 formation under Didier Santini, while Bastia deployed a 5-4-1 under Michel Moretti.

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Rodez is 6.86, compared to 6.75 for Bastia. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Rodez's highest-rated starter is Quentin Braat (7.20), while Bastia's best-rated player is Juan Guevara (6.97).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Rodez have contributed 27 goals and 21 assists this season, led by Tairyk Arconte (12G). Bastia's starters account for 15 goals and 7 assists, spearheaded by Felix Tomi (4G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Rodez deploy 5 defenders rated 6.90 on average, against Bastia's 5-man backline averaging 6.76. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Rodez field 3 midfielders averaging 6.77, versus Bastia's 4 rated 6.75. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Rodez start 2 forward(s) averaging 6.71, compared to 1 for Bastia averaging 6.56. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 73% for Rodez and 76% for Bastia. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Rodez's starters have collected 37 yellow cards this season, compared to 39 for Bastia. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Rodez's starting XI is 24.1 (youngest: Jordan Mendes Correia (21), oldest: Quentin Braat (28)), while Bastia average 26.5 (youngest: Alexandre Zaouai (20), oldest: Johny Placide (37)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Rodez's starters average 26 league appearances each, versus 23 for Bastia. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Rodez5-3-25-4-1Bastia
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Braat25Galves24Laurent5Jolibois3Lipinski15Allan26Benchama6Correia22Joly9Nagera11Arconte30Placide24Meynadi.4Roncagl.28Akueson3Guevara15Bohnert18Zaouai17Eickmay.66Janneh9Tomi14Sebas

Substitutes

Coach: Didier Santini

Substitutes

Coach: Michel Moretti

RodezPosition StrengthBastia
6.86
Avg Rating
6.75
7.20Goalkeeper (1 v 1)6.83
0G 0A0G 1A
6.90Defender (5 v 5)6.76
4G 14A3G 2A
6.77Midfielder (3 v 4)6.75
7G 3A8G 4A
6.71Forward (2 v 1)6.56
16G 4A4G 0A
Rodez5-3-2
1GoalkeeperQuentin Braat7.2
25DefenderNolan Galves6.76A
24DefenderLoni Laurent6.9
5DefenderClément Jolibois6.92G1A
3DefenderRaphael Lipinski7.02G1A
15DefenderJean Lambert Evan's Allan6.96A
26MidfielderSamy Benchama6.74G1A
6MidfielderJordan Mendes Correia6.82A
22MidfielderOctave Joly6.83G
9ForwardKenny Nagera6.54G2A
11ForwardTairyk Arconte7.012G2A
Bastia5-4-1
30GoalkeeperJohny Placide6.81A
24DefenderTom Meynadier6.7
4DefenderAnthony Roncaglia6.62G
28DefenderGustave Akueson6.8
3DefenderJuan Guevara7.01G1A
15DefenderFlorian Bohnert6.81A
18MidfielderAlexandre Zaouai6.81G2A
17MidfielderJoachim Eickmayer6.93G
66MidfielderJocelyn Janneh6.8
9MidfielderFelix Tomi6.54G2A
14ForwardJeremy Sebas6.64G

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Rodez have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats. Bastia show 1 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Rodez

DWWDDW

Bastia

DWLDDL

Rodez vs Bastia Head to Head Results

Rodez and Bastia have met 1 times — Rodez won 1, Bastia won 0, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. Rodez leads the head-to-head with 1 victories from 1 meetings. A combined 5 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 5.00 per match (3 for the home side, 2 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 matches (100%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 games (100%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–3 in 2025.

1

Rodez

0

Drawn

0

Bastia

Goals: 3Goals: 2

Recent Meetings (1)

23 Sept 2025Bastia2 – 3Rodez
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 22 Mar 2026