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Caen vs Guingamp

Full Time

Ligue 2 · Season 2023

Stade Michel d'Ornano, Caen30 September 2023 at 18:00
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Caen

01
Referee: G. Paradis

Match Events

Caen
Guingamp
Kick Off
Half Time
46′
A. NdourV. Manceau
H. MbockG. Kyeremeh
73′
73′
H. PicardA. Sagna
77′
A. Sagna
79′Donatien Gomis
Y. CourtM. Le Bihan
79′
85′
A. El OuazzaniJ. Siwe
89′Kalidou Sidibé
Romain Thomas90+4′
90+2′
M. MerghemB. Roux
Full Time

Match Statistics

1Shots on Goal7
5Shots off Goal4
7Total Shots14
1Blocked Shots3
3Shots insidebox11
4Shots outsidebox3
17Fouls21
6Corner Kicks5
2Offsides5
51%Ball Possession49%
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
6Goalkeeper Saves1
407Total passes397
302Passes accurate290
74%Passes %73%
0expected_goals0

Match Summary

Guingamp defeated Caen 1:0. The match was played in Ligue 2 2023. Goals were scored by A. Sagna 77′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Caen had 51% possession while Guingamp held 49%. Caen had 7 shots (1 on target) compared to 14 (7 on target) for Guingamp. Caen made 2 substitutions, Guingamp made 4.

Rivalry since 2012

Caen vs Guingamp Head to Head Results

26 stretnutí
Caen
7
wins
Drawn
9
Guingamp
10
wins
Total goals
62 · 2.4/match
Both scored
15/26 · 58%
Over 2.5
11/26 · 42%

Recent Form

Caen

WWWDDD

Guingamp

LLDWWD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Caen4wins
1draws10 meetings
Guingamp5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (48%) — the odds may underestimate Caen.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 50.6%Draw 30.0%Away 25.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.953.303.75
Max2.033.404.04
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 58.8%
Market favourite:Caen · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market47.6%28.4%23.9%
Public market48.1%28.4%23.5%

Caen vs Guingamp — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Guingamp
Result vs. Market: Caen (51%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CaenHalf-time:00Guingamp
7Shots14
1Shots on target7

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
24/01/25Caen0–1Guingamp2.99/3.31/2.38
30/09/24Guingamp3–1Caen2.02/3.35/3.59
17/02/24Guingamp1–0Caen1.84/3.46/4.10
30/09/23Caen0–1Guingamp1.98/3.33/3.93
25/02/23Guingamp1–2Caen2.61/3.02/2.92
20/08/22Caen4–1Guingamp2.32/3.05/3.26
30/04/22Guingamp2–1Caen2.35/3.02/3.12
11/12/21Caen2–0Guingamp2.56/3.08/2.85
22/02/21Guingamp2–2Caen2.23/3.13/3.44
24/10/20Caen1–0Guingamp2.82/3.00/2.72

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Caen

W 260D 209L 205
Over 2.546
Goals scored894

Away Record: Guingamp

W 225D 204L 198
Over 2.542
Goals scored781

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026