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Ajax vs Excelsior

Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam21 February 2016 at 13:30
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Ajax

30
Referee: Dennis Higler

Match Events

Ajax
Excelsior
Kick Off
19′Bas Kuipers
A. Milik

assist: N. Viergever

41′
Half Time
A. Milik

assist: A. Younes

55′
L. SchöneR. van Rhijn
66′
A. YounesV. Fischer
74′
75′
S. ElbersD. van Mieghem
80′
B. KuipersD. Bovenberg
A. El GhaziR. Murić
82′
D. Klaassen

assist: R. Murić

85′
Full Time

Match Statistics

13Shots on Goal3
9Shots off Goal4
28Total Shots9
6Blocked Shots2
18Shots insidebox4
10Shots outsidebox5
0Fouls0
7Corner Kicks0
0Offsides1
61%Ball Possession39%
0Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves10
557Total passes353
482Passes accurate261
87%Passes %74%

Match Summary

Ajax defeated Excelsior 3:0. The match was played in Eredivisie 2015. Goals were scored by A. Milik 41′, A. Milik 55′, D. Klaassen 85′. 1 yellow cards were shown. Ajax had 61% possession while Excelsior held 39%. Ajax had 28 shots (13 on target) compared to 9 (3 on target) for Excelsior. Ajax made 3 substitutions, Excelsior made 2.

Rivalry since 2010

Ajax vs Excelsior Head to Head Results

19 stretnutí
Ajax
13
wins
Drawn
5
Excelsior
1
wins
Total goals
78 · 4.1/match
Both scored
15/19 · 79%
Over 2.5
14/19 · 74%

Recent Form

Ajax

DWWLDW

Excelsior

WWDLDL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Ajax dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Ajax6wins
3draws10 meetings
Excelsior1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

5.1

Average goals per game

100%

Games with 3+ goals

100%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (82%) — the odds may underestimate Excelsior.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 85.5%Draw 14.3%Away 6.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.156.5015.00
Max1.197.5418.49
Market favourite:Ajax · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market81.8%12.9%5.3%
Public market80.3%13.4%6.3%
Δ1.5%0.5%1.0%

Ajax vs Excelsior — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Ajax
Result vs. Market: Ajax (85%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

AjaxHalf-time:10Excelsior

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
01/02/26Excelsior2–2Ajax4.20/3.90/1.75
22/11/25Ajax1–2Excelsior1.36/5.53/7.20
24/04/24Ajax2–2Excelsior1.28/5.92/9.57
19/08/23Excelsior2–2Ajax9.68/6.35/1.23
29/01/23Excelsior1–4Ajax10.59/6.25/1.25
16/10/22Ajax7–1Excelsior1.05/13.29/30.70
13/04/19Ajax6–2Excelsior1.07/11.85/28.89
11/11/18Excelsior1–7Ajax15.32/7.67/1.15
14/12/17Ajax3–1Excelsior1.09/10.99/21.47
06/05/18Excelsior1–2Ajax8.25/5.13/1.32

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Ajax

W 739D 213L 159
Over 2.565
Goals scored2742

Away Record: Excelsior

W 100D 101L 239
Over 2.561
Goals scored518

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026