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EredivisieSeason 2016

AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen

28 August 2016 at 15:45AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
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AZ Alkmaar

20
Away

NEC Nijmegen

Referee: Kevin Blom

Match Summary

AZ Alkmaar defeated NEC Nijmegen 2:0. The match was played in Eredivisie 2016.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.1

Average goals per game

70%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

AZ Alkmaar
4
wins
draws
3
10 meetings
NEC Nijmegen
3
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (71%) — the odds may underestimate NEC Nijmegen.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

AZ Alkmaar13NEC Nijmegen
31 Jan 202625/261.80/4.10/3.90
NEC Nijmegen21AZ Alkmaar
28 Sept 202525/262.98/4.14/2.10
NEC Nijmegen33AZ Alkmaar
29 Mar 202524/253.42/3.49/2.10
AZ Alkmaar10NEC Nijmegen
17 Aug 202424/251.46/4.63/6.12
NEC Nijmegen03AZ Alkmaar
28 Apr 202423/243.29/3.85/2.05
AZ Alkmaar12NEC Nijmegen
6 Dec 202323/241.26/5.98/10.20
NEC Nijmegen03AZ Alkmaar
21 May 202322/234.12/3.95/1.81
AZ Alkmaar11NEC Nijmegen
1 Sept 202222/231.47/4.44/6.71
NEC Nijmegen13AZ Alkmaar
6 Mar 202221/226.32/4.12/1.55
AZ Alkmaar11NEC Nijmegen
20 Nov 202121/221.36/4.84/8.97

Market Summary

Margin: 6.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 75.0%Draw 18.9%Away 12.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.305.008.00
Max1.375.618.53
Market favourite:AZ Alkmaar · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market71.2%17.4%11.4%
Public market70.4%17.8%11.7%

AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

AZ Alkmaar
Result vs. Market: AZ Alkmaar (75%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

AZ AlkmaarHalf-time:10NEC Nijmegen

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: AZ Alkmaar

W 476D 212L 289
Over 2.562
Goals scored1762

Away Record: NEC Nijmegen

W 284D 238L 396
Over 2.553
Goals scored1185

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026