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Heerenveen vs Heracles

Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen28 October 2023 at 17:45

Match Events

Heerenveen
Heracles
Kick Off
O. Sahraoui
10′
15′Navajo Bakboord
L. Brouwers

assist: S. Olsson

21′
O. SahraouiA. Tahiri
33′
Luuk Brouwers40′
Half Time
53′
E. HanssonB. Limbombe
60′
L. WehmeyerA. Nankishi
60′
N. BakboordM. Vejinović
60′
A. OuahimM. Sankoh
P. van AmersfoortD. Karlsbakk
69′
O. BraudeHussein Ali Haidar
69′
L. Brouwers

assist: M. Köhlert

72′
74′
T. BrunsS. Scheperman
L. BrouwersE. van Ee
77′
P. WålemarkC. Webster
77′
Mats Köhlert79′
79′Stijn Bultman
Full Time

Match Statistics

9Shots on Goal3
8Shots off Goal4
18Total Shots9
1Blocked Shots2
13Shots insidebox6
5Shots outsidebox3
11Fouls9
10Corner Kicks4
0Offsides0
48%Ball Possession52%
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves6
411Total passes443
317Passes accurate357
77%Passes %81%
1.85expected_goals0.72

Match Summary

Heerenveen defeated Heracles 3:0. The match was played in Eredivisie 2023. Goals were scored by O. Sahraoui 10′, L. Brouwers 21′, L. Brouwers 72′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Heerenveen had 48% possession while Heracles held 52%. Heerenveen had 18 shots (9 on target) compared to 9 (3 on target) for Heracles. Expected goals: Heerenveen 1.85 — Heracles 0.72. Heerenveen made 5 substitutions, Heracles made 5.

Rivalry since 2010

Heerenveen vs Heracles Head to Head Results

29 stretnutí
Heerenveen
12
wins
Drawn
4
Heracles
13
wins
Total goals
100 · 3.4/match
Both scored
19/29 · 66%
Over 2.5
17/29 · 59%

Recent Form

Heerenveen

WWLWDW

Heracles

LLLLDL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Heerenveen dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Heerenveen6wins
1draws10 meetings
Heracles3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (49%) — the odds may underestimate Heerenveen.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 51.4%Draw 26.1%Away 27.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.913.753.50
Max1.983.933.75
Over 2.5: 60.6%Under 2.5: 45.5%
Market favourite:Heerenveen · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market49.1%24.7%26.1%
Public market49.0%25.5%25.5%

Heerenveen vs Heracles — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Heerenveen
Result vs. Market: Heerenveen (51%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

HeerenveenHalf-time:20Heracles
18Shots9
9Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
05/04/26Heerenveen4–1Heracles1.48/5.00/5.50
20/12/25Heracles0–3Heerenveen3.29/3.80/2.06
15/03/25Heerenveen1–1Heracles1.78/3.64/4.46
27/09/24Heracles2–1Heerenveen2.84/3.65/2.37
14/04/24Heracles0–2Heerenveen2.83/3.53/2.43
28/10/23Heerenveen3–0Heracles1.95/3.83/3.66
18/03/22Heerenveen2–0Heracles2.40/3.20/3.10
04/12/21Heracles0–1Heerenveen2.07/3.59/3.47
23/01/21Heracles1–0Heerenveen2.27/3.52/3.07
20/12/20Heerenveen1–2Heracles1.84/3.96/3.90

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Heerenveen

W 440D 288L 384
Over 2.562
Goals scored1822

Away Record: Heracles

W 211D 147L 312
Over 2.560
Goals scored900

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026