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PEC Zwolle vs NAC Breda

20 October 2024 at 15:45MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle
12
Referee: J. Manschot

Match Summary

NAC Breda defeated PEC Zwolle 2:1. The match was played in Eredivisie 2024.

Rivalry since 2012

PEC Zwolle vs NAC Breda Head to Head Results· 16

PEC Zwolle and NAC Breda have met 16 times — PEC Zwolle won 9, NAC Breda won 3, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. PEC Zwolle leads the head-to-head with 9 victories from 16 meetings. A combined 38 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.38 per match (24 for the home side, 14 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (44%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 games (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. PEC Zwolle are currently unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–1 in 2015.

Drawn
4
·
Total goals
38 · 2.4/match
Both scored
7/16 · 44%
Over 2.5
8/16 · 50%

Recent Meetings

21/03/26Eredivisie
Match Details
18/10/25Eredivisie
Match Details
04/05/25Eredivisie
Match Details
17/03/23Eerste Divisie
Match Details
19/11/22Eerste Divisie
Match Details
19/01/22KNVB Beker
Match Details
15/05/19Eredivisie
Match Details
15/12/18Eredivisie
Match Details
20/01/18Eredivisie
Match Details
21/10/17Eredivisie
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 41 v 2015

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, PEC Zwolle have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats. NAC Breda show 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

PEC Zwolle5wins
3draws10 meetings
NAC Breda2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.6

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (49%) — the odds may underestimate PEC Zwolle.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 51.8%Draw 27.9%Away 26.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.913.503.60
Max1.953.664.10
Over 2.5: 55.6%Under 2.5: 50.0%
Market favourite:PEC Zwolle · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market49.2%25.9%24.9%
Public market49.7%27.1%23.2%
Δ0.5%1.2%1.7%

PEC Zwolle vs NAC Breda — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

NAC Breda
Result vs. Market: PEC Zwolle (52%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

PEC ZwolleHalf-time:00NAC Breda
10Shots12
3Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

21 Mar 202625/262.20/3.50/3.20
18 Oct 202525/262.08/3.63/3.35
4 May 202524/252.26/3.42/3.16
20 Oct 202424/251.93/3.59/3.84
15 May 201918/192.67/3.62/2.47
15 Dec 201818/191.64/3.86/5.35
21/10/1717/182.83/3.45/2.42
20/01/1817/181.61/4.07/5.27
31/08/1414/152.48/3.46/2.76
17/01/1514/151.45/4.43/6.63

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: PEC Zwolle

W 145D 126L 230
Over 2.554
Goals scored626

Away Record: NAC Breda

W 265D 218L 366
Over 2.556
Goals scored1101

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026