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NEC Nijmegen vs NAC Breda

14 May 2025 at 19:00Goffertstadion, Nijmegen
Referee: E. Blank

Match Summary

NEC Nijmegen defeated NAC Breda 3:0. The match was played in Eredivisie 2024.

Rivalry since 2010

NEC Nijmegen vs NAC Breda Head to Head Results· 16

NEC Nijmegen and NAC Breda have met 16 times — NEC Nijmegen won 4, NAC Breda won 6, with 6 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. NAC Breda leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 16 meetings. A combined 39 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.44 per match (18 for the home side, 21 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 9 matches (56%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 games (31%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–4 in 2026.

Drawn
6
·
Total goals
39 · 2.4/match
Both scored
9/16 · 56%
Over 2.5
5/16 · 31%

Recent Meetings

17/01/26Eredivisie
Match Details
24/08/25Eredivisie
Match Details
05/10/24Eredivisie
Match Details
23/05/21Eredivisie
Match Details
03/05/21Eerste Divisie
Match Details
30/10/20Eerste Divisie
Match Details
28/02/20Eerste Divisie
Match Details
04/10/19Eerste Divisie
Match Details
05/02/14Eredivisie
Match Details
30/08/13Eredivisie
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 34 v 2026

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, NEC Nijmegen have recorded 1 win, 3 draws and 2 defeats. NAC Breda show 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

NEC Nijmegen dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

NEC Nijmegen6wins
3draws10 meetings
NAC Breda1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.6

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Market Summary

Margin: 5.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 55.1%Draw 26.5%Away 24.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.803.703.98
Max1.833.844.33
Over 2.5: 58.8%Under 2.5: 47.6%
Market favourite:NEC Nijmegen · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market51.6%24.6%23.7%
Public market52.6%25.6%21.9%
Δ0.9%1.0%1.9%

NEC Nijmegen vs NAC Breda — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

NEC Nijmegen
Result vs. Market: NEC Nijmegen (55%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

NEC NijmegenHalf-time:10NAC Breda
11Shots9
5Shots on target0

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

17 Jan 202625/263.00/3.60/2.25
24 Aug 202525/261.56/4.21/5.69
14 May 202524/251.81/3.77/4.16
5 Oct 202424/252.88/3.42/2.42
30/08/1313/142.05/3.54/3.43
2 May 201413/141.92/3.71/3.70
11 Nov 199898/99
30/08/9898/99
25/04/9897/98
30/08/9797/98

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: NEC Nijmegen

W 283D 238L 396
Over 2.553
Goals scored1183

Away Record: NAC Breda

W 265D 218L 366
Over 2.556
Goals scored1101

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026