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Moreirense vs Estoril

Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Cónegos28 December 2021 at 21:00
10
Referee: Manuel Mota

Match Summary

Moreirense defeated Estoril 1:0. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2021.

Rivalry since 2012

Moreirense vs Estoril Head to Head Results

17 stretnutí
Moreirense
4
wins
Drawn
7
Estoril
6
wins
Total goals
46 · 2.7/match
Both scored
11/17 · 65%
Over 2.5
7/17 · 41%

Recent Form

Moreirense

LWLWDL

Estoril

DDLLLL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Moreirense5wins
3draws10 meetings
Estoril2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.9

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (32%) — the odds may underestimate Moreirense.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 33.8%Draw 32.5%Away 39.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.873.002.50
Max3.013.142.65
Over 2.5: 44.4%Under 2.5: 62.1%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market32.3%31.0%36.7%
Public market31.6%30.5%37.9%
Δ0.7%0.4%1.2%

Moreirense vs Estoril — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Moreirense
Result vs. Market: Estoril (39%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MoreirenseHalf-time:10Estoril
5Shots13
3Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
20/04/26Moreirense1–0Estoril3.00/3.40/2.25
07/12/25Estoril3–3Moreirense2.06/3.41/3.55
11/05/25Moreirense2–2Estoril2.40/3.29/2.97
28/12/24Estoril2–2Moreirense3.19/3.01/2.41
18/05/24Moreirense2–1Estoril2.29/3.29/3.12
13/01/24Estoril1–3Moreirense2.39/3.40/2.85
07/05/22Estoril1–0Moreirense2.59/3.30/2.77
28/12/21Moreirense1–0Estoril2.96/3.08/2.57
10/09/17Estoril0–2Moreirense1.97/3.25/4.20
12/02/18Moreirense1–2Estoril2.34/3.14/3.19

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Moreirense

W 150D 141L 214
Over 2.544
Goals scored534

Away Record: Estoril

W 126D 98L 175
Over 2.550
Goals scored489

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026