16 October 2016 at 12:30

01
Full Time
Referee: Roger East

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Middlesbrough1wins
1draws4 meetings
Watford2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2

Average goals per game

25%

Games with 3+ goals

25%

Both teams scored

Market Summary

Margin: 2.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 43.6%Draw 31.0%Away 28.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.253.103.51
Max2.333.303.60
Market favourite:Middlesbrough · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market42.1%30.0%27.9%
Public market43.3%29.6%27.1%
Δ1.3%0.4%0.8%

Middlesbrough vs Watford — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Watford
Result vs. Market: Middlesbrough (44%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MiddlesbroughHalf-time:00Watford
10Shots4
3Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
16/10/16Middlesbrough0–1Watford2.29/3.22/3.57
14/01/17Watford0–0Middlesbrough2.50/3.16/3.18
07/04/07Middlesbrough4–1Watford1.61/3.52/5.12
04/11/06Watford2–0Middlesbrough2.49/3.05/2.75

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Middlesbrough

W 154D 158L 220
Over 2.544
Goals scored594

Away Record: Watford

W 73D 66L 165
Over 2.553
Goals scored310

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Watford defeated Middlesbrough 1:0. The match was played in Premier League 2016. Goals were scored by J. Holebas 54′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Middlesbrough had 63% possession while Watford held 37%. Middlesbrough had 10 shots (3 on target) compared to 4 (2 on target) for Watford. Middlesbrough made 3 substitutions, Watford made 3.

Match Events

Key match events between Middlesbrough and Watford — 1 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.

Middlesbrough
Watford
Kick Off
Antonio Barragán21′
Half Time
54′
J. Holebas
BarragánDaniel Ayala
69′
C. StuaniAdama Traoré
69′
72′
N. AmrabatC. Zúñiga
85′
M. BritosC. Kabasele
M. de RoonJ. Rhodes
88′
89′
I. SuccessB. Watson
Full Time

Match Statistics

Middlesbrough had 63% possession against Watford's 37%. Middlesbrough registered 10 shots (3 on target) while Watford managed 4 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 4–6. Fouls committed: 15–10.

3Shots on Goal2
7Shots off Goal1
10Total Shots4
0Blocked Shots1
6Shots insidebox2
4Shots outsidebox2
15Fouls10
4Corner Kicks6
0Offsides1
63%Ball Possession37%
4Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves3
467Total passes265
388Passes accurate186
83%Passes %70%

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Middlesbrough have recorded 0 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats. Watford show 1 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Middlesbrough

DLDLDD

Watford

LLDLDW

Middlesbrough vs Watford Head to Head Results

Middlesbrough and Watford have met 18 times — Middlesbrough won 5, Watford won 9, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Watford leads the head-to-head with 9 victories from 18 meetings. A combined 43 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.39 per match (19 for the home side, 24 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 10 matches (56%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 games (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Watford are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–3 in 2023.

5

Middlesbrough

4

Drawn

9

Watford

Goals: 19Goals: 24

Recent Meetings (18)

1 Nov 2025Watford3 – 0Middlesbrough
15 Feb 2025Middlesbrough0 – 1Watford
5 Oct 2024Watford2 – 1Middlesbrough
4 May 2024Middlesbrough3 – 1Watford
30 Sept 2023Watford2 – 3Middlesbrough
28 Jan 2023Middlesbrough2 – 0Watford
30 Aug 2022Watford2 – 1Middlesbrough
5 Apr 2021Middlesbrough1 – 1Watford
11 Sept 2020Watford1 – 0Middlesbrough
14 Jan 2017Watford0 – 0Middlesbrough
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 15 Mar 2026