1 November 2020 at 12:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Aston Villa dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.5
Average goals per game
40%
Games with 3+ goals
20%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (39%) — the odds may underestimate Aston Villa.
Market Summary
Margin: 4.0%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.45 | 3.50 | 2.75 |
| Max | 2.53 | 3.72 | 2.81 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 38.8% | 26.4% | 34.9% |
| Public market | 38.8% | 27.2% | 34.0% |
Aston Villa vs Southampton — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/2524/25 | Southampton | 0–3 | Aston Villa | 5.88/4.35/1.56 |
| 07/12/2424/25 | Aston Villa | 1–0 | Southampton | 1.36/5.33/7.59 |
| 21/01/2322/23 | Southampton | 0–1 | Aston Villa | 2.88/3.32/2.54 |
| 16/09/2222/23 | Aston Villa | 1–0 | Southampton | 2.10/3.54/3.53 |
| 05/03/2221/22 | Aston Villa | 4–0 | Southampton | 2.34/3.46/3.03 |
| 05/11/2121/22 | Southampton | 1–0 | Aston Villa | 2.00/3.60/3.71 |
| 30/01/2120/21 | Southampton | 0–1 | Aston Villa | 2.86/3.61/2.40 |
| 01/11/2020/21 | Aston Villa | 3–4 | Southampton | 2.49/3.57/2.79 |
| 22/02/2019/20 | Southampton | 2–0 | Aston Villa | 1.63/4.29/5.15 |
| 21/12/1919/20 | Aston Villa | 1–3 | Southampton | 2.45/3.54/2.83 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Aston Villa
Away Record: Southampton
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Southampton defeated Aston Villa 4:3. The match was played in Premier League 2020. Goals were scored by J. Vestergaard 20′, J. Ward-Prowse 33′, J. Ward-Prowse 45′, D. Ings 58′, T. Mings 62′, O. Watkins 90′ (pen.), J. Grealish 90′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Aston Villa had 56% possession while Southampton held 44%. Aston Villa had 19 shots (10 on target) compared to 9 (4 on target) for Southampton. Aston Villa made 2 substitutions, Southampton made 3. VAR was involved: Goal cancelled (Ezri Konsa 5′).
Match Events
Key match events between Aston Villa and Southampton — 7 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.
assist: J. Ward-Prowse
assist: S. Armstrong
assist: J. Grealish
Penalty
assist: Douglas Luiz
Match Statistics
Aston Villa had 56% possession against Southampton's 44%. Aston Villa registered 19 shots (10 on target) while Southampton managed 9 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 11–1. Fouls committed: 12–17.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Aston Villa have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats. Southampton show 5 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.
Aston Villa
Southampton
Aston Villa vs Southampton Head to Head Results
Aston Villa and Southampton have met 18 times — Aston Villa won 7, Southampton won 8, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. Southampton leads the head-to-head with 8 victories from 18 meetings. A combined 49 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.72 per match (22 for the home side, 27 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 8 matches (44%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 games (44%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Aston Villa are currently unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 6–1 in 2015.
7
Aston Villa
3
Drawn
8
Southampton
Recent Meetings (18)
API data: 15 Mar 2026