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Tottenham vs Aston Villa

White Hart Lane, London2 November 2015 at 20:00
Referee: Mike Dean

Match Events

Tottenham
Aston Villa
Kick Off
M. Dembélé

assist: D. Rose

3′
38′
A. WestwoodJ. Ayew
42′Jordan Ayew
D. Alli
45+1′
Half Time
46′
G. AgbonlahorR. Gestede
65′
J. GrealishCarles Gil
67′Kieran Richardson
M. DembéléR. Mason
69′
79′
J. Ayew
D. RoseB. Davies
82′
D. AlliJ. Onomah
89′
90′Alan Hutton
H. Kane

assist: E. Lamela

90+3′
Full Time

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal5
17Total Shots13
7Blocked Shots6
10Shots insidebox5
7Shots outsidebox8
0Fouls0
4Corner Kicks3
3Offsides1
61%Ball Possession39%
0Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves3
530Total passes325
432Passes accurate220
82%Passes %68%

Lineups

Defensive Solidity

Tottenham deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Aston Villa's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Tottenham field 5 midfielders averaging —, versus Aston Villa's 5 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Tottenham start 1 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 1 for Aston Villa averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

TottenhamPosition StrengthAston Villa
Tottenham
1GoalkeeperH. Lloris
5DefenderJ. Vertonghen
3DefenderD. Rose
2DefenderK. Walker
4DefenderT. Alderweireld
15MidfielderE. Dier
19MidfielderM. Dembélé
11MidfielderE. Lamela
23MidfielderC. Eriksen
20MidfielderD. Alli
10ForwardH. Kane
Aston Villa
1GoalkeeperB. Guzan
21DefenderA. Hutton
16DefenderJ. Lescott
18DefenderK. Richardson
6DefenderC. Clark
24MidfielderC. Sánchez
9MidfielderS. Sinclair
15MidfielderA. Westwood
7MidfielderL. Bacuna
40MidfielderJ. Grealish
11ForwardG. Agbonlahor

Match Summary

Tottenham defeated Aston Villa 3:1. The match was played in Premier League 2015. Goals were scored by M. Dembélé 3′, D. Alli 45′, J. Ayew 79′, H. Kane 90′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Tottenham had 61% possession while Aston Villa held 39%. Tottenham had 17 shots (6 on target) compared to 13 (2 on target) for Aston Villa. Tottenham made 3 substitutions, Aston Villa made 3.

Rivalry since 2010

Tottenham vs Aston Villa Head to Head Results

29 stretnutí
Tottenham
19
wins
Drawn
1
Aston Villa
9
wins
Total goals
85 · 2.9/match
Both scored
15/29 · 52%
Over 2.5
19/29 · 66%

Recent Form

Tottenham

DWWDLL

Aston Villa

DWLLLW

Match Prediction

Tottenham

50%

Home win

 

50%

Draw

Aston Villa

0%

Away win

Model advice

Winner : Tottenham

100%Form0%
80%Attack20%
69%Defence31%
80%Head-to-head20%

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Tottenham5wins
0draws10 meetings
Aston Villa5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.2

Average goals per game

80%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (69%) — the odds may underestimate Aston Villa.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 69.6%Draw 21.8%Away 12.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.434.208.00
Max1.444.809.00
Market favourite:Tottenham · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market68.6%20.4%10.9%
Public market67.4%20.4%12.1%
Δ1.2%1.2%

Tottenham vs Aston Villa — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Tottenham
Result vs. Market: Tottenham (70%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

TottenhamHalf-time:20Aston Villa
17Shots13
6Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
03/05/26Aston Villa1–2Tottenham2.15/3.60/3.20
19/10/25Tottenham1–2Aston Villa2.06/3.63/3.50
16/05/25Aston Villa2–0Tottenham1.31/6.01/8.55
03/11/24Tottenham4–1Aston Villa1.93/4.02/3.62
10/03/24Aston Villa0–4Tottenham2.41/4.06/2.58
26/11/23Tottenham1–2Aston Villa2.30/3.88/2.77
13/05/23Aston Villa2–1Tottenham2.26/3.61/3.00
01/01/23Tottenham0–2Aston Villa1.67/4.04/5.00
09/04/22Aston Villa0–4Tottenham3.18/3.47/2.27
03/10/21Tottenham2–1Aston Villa2.13/3.50/3.51

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Tottenham

W 544D 297L 418
Over 2.554
Goals scored1938

Away Record: Aston Villa

W 407D 316L 422
Over 2.549
Goals scored1441

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026