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Southampton vs Burnley

St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton16 October 2016 at 16:00
31
Referee: Mike Dean

Match Events

Southampton
Burnley
Kick Off
M. TargettS. McQueen
14′
30′Steven Defour
41′
S. DefourA. O'Neill
Half Time
Dušan Tadić49′
C. Austin
52′
N. Redmond

assist: S. Davis

60′
C. Austin

Penalty

66′
68′Dean Marney
70′
J. Guðmunds­sonM. Kightly
C. AustinJ. Rodriguez
71′
72′
S. Vokes

Penalty

81′
G. BoydP. Bamford
N. RedmondJ. Ward-Prowse
88′
Full Time

Match Statistics

14Shots on Goal1
9Shots off Goal4
34Total Shots6
11Blocked Shots1
24Shots insidebox4
10Shots outsidebox2
11Fouls10
8Corner Kicks4
0Offsides1
64%Ball Possession36%
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
0Goalkeeper Saves11
553Total passes307
469Passes accurate211
85%Passes %69%

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Southampton is 6.72, compared to — for Burnley. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Southampton's highest-rated starter is Oriol Romeu (6.72), while Burnley's best-rated player is —.

Defensive Solidity

Southampton deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Burnley's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Southampton field 4 midfielders averaging 6.72, versus Burnley's 5 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Southampton start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 1 for Burnley averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 78% for Southampton and —% for Burnley. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Southampton's starters have collected 2 yellow cards this season, compared to 0 for Burnley. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Southampton's starting XI is 34.0 (youngest: Oriol Romeu (34), oldest: Oriol Romeu (34)), while Burnley average — (youngest: —, oldest: —). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Southampton's starters average 6 league appearances each, versus 0 for Burnley. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Southampton4-3-1-24-5-1Burnley
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Forster6Fonte15Martina17Dijk33Targett8Davis11Tadić14Romeu4Clasie22Redmond10Austin1Heaton23Ward2Lowton6Mee5Keane16Defour8Marney25Guðmund.21Boyd13Hendrick9Vokes

Substitutes

Coach: C. Puel

Substitutes

Coach: S. Dyche

SouthamptonPosition StrengthBurnley
6.72
Avg Rating
6.72Midfielder (4 v 5)
0G 0A0G 0A
Southampton4-3-1-2
1GoalkeeperF. Forster
6DefenderJosé Fonte
15DefenderR. Martina
17DefenderV. van Dijk
33DefenderM. Targett
8MidfielderS. Davis
11MidfielderD. Tadić
14MidfielderOriol Romeu6.7
4MidfielderJ. Clasie
22ForwardN. Redmond
10ForwardC. Austin
Burnley4-5-1
1GoalkeeperT. Heaton
23DefenderS. Ward
2DefenderM. Lowton
6DefenderB. Mee
5DefenderM. Keane
16MidfielderS. Defour
8MidfielderD. Marney
25MidfielderJ. Guðmunds­son
21MidfielderG. Boyd
13MidfielderJ. Hendrick
9ForwardS. Vokes

Match Summary

Southampton defeated Burnley 3:1. The match was played in Premier League 2016. Goals were scored by C. Austin 52′, N. Redmond 60′, C. Austin 66′ (pen.), S. Vokes 72′ (pen.). 3 yellow cards were shown. Southampton had 64% possession while Burnley held 36%. Southampton had 34 shots (14 on target) compared to 6 (1 on target) for Burnley. Southampton made 3 substitutions, Burnley made 3.

Rivalry since 2011

Southampton vs Burnley Head to Head Results

17 stretnutí
Southampton
5
wins
Drawn
5
Burnley
7
wins
Total goals
39 · 2.3/match
Both scored
7/17 · 41%
Over 2.5
5/17 · 29%

Recent Form

Southampton

WDLDWW

Burnley

DLLLLL

Match Prediction

Southampton

50%

Home win

 

50%

Draw

Burnley

0%

Away win

Model advice

Combo Double chance : Southampton or draw and -3.5 goals

67%Form33%
67%Attack33%
73%Defence27%
71%Head-to-head29%

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Southampton2wins
4draws10 meetings
Burnley4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (71%) — the odds may underestimate Burnley.

Market Summary

Margin: 2.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 71.6%Draw 21.1%Away 10.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.394.509.50
Max1.404.8910.41
Market favourite:Southampton · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market70.5%20.0%9.4%
Public market69.5%20.3%10.2%
Δ1.0%0.2%0.8%

Southampton vs Burnley — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Southampton
Result vs. Market: Southampton (72%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

SouthamptonHalf-time:00Burnley
34Shots6
14Shots on target1

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
21/04/22Burnley2–0Southampton2.73/3.38/2.62
23/10/21Southampton2–2Burnley1.97/3.54/3.89
04/04/21Southampton3–2Burnley2.09/3.29/3.86
26/09/20Burnley0–1Southampton3.30/3.27/2.32
15/02/20Southampton1–2Burnley1.78/3.73/4.74
10/08/19Burnley3–0Southampton2.68/3.24/2.77
02/02/19Burnley1–1Southampton2.55/3.41/2.89
12/08/18Southampton0–0Burnley1.85/3.42/4.93
24/02/18Burnley1–1Southampton2.83/3.09/2.77
04/11/17Southampton0–1Burnley1.66/3.67/6.64

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Southampton

W 269D 243L 408
Over 2.549
Goals scored1086

Away Record: Burnley

W 92D 93L 192
Over 2.548
Goals scored376

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026